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Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

2026-08-05 23:40 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 54.82%1.82fair odd
EV -1.33%
Edge -0.739%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.79%54.83%55.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.751.751.8060.24%57.24%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 45.18%2.21fair odd
EV -0.596%
Edge -0.271%
Kelly -0.497%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.58%45.21%45.17%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.982.102.102.2050.51%47.51%47.62%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 54.82%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 45.18%. For Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.21. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.20, with an expected value of -0.596%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.33%E -0.739%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -2.86%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 00:14
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.43%E -1.36%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.50%E -0.688%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 00:55
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.43%E -1.36%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.50%E -0.688%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-04 22:54
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.43%E -1.36%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.95%E -0.899%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-05 00:19
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.36%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.40%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:54
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.43%E -1.36%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.40%E -1.11%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-04 22:55
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.97%E -1.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.596%E -0.271%K -0.497%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-05 01:09
Pinnacle1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.97%E -1.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -1.50%E -0.688%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-04 23:40
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -2.97%E -1.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -2.86%E -1.33%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-04 23:45
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.97%E -1.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 22:54
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.97%E -1.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 20:35
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.97%E -1.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-04 21:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.97%E -1.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.37%E -3.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:54
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.97%E -1.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.37%E -3.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-04 22:54
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -2.97%E -1.68%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.63%E -4.82%K -9.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-04 23:24
Bovada1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -3.52%E -2.00%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -5.57%E -2.66%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-04 21:40
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.07%E -2.33%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-05 01:10
Bet Right1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.07%E -2.33%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 23:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.07%E -2.33%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.07%E -2.33%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-04 22:55
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.07%E -2.33%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.02%E -2.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 20:38
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.07%E -2.33%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.37%E -3.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-04 20:39
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.62%E -2.65%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.76%E -1.76%K -3.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-04 23:25
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.62%E -2.65%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 22:54
Marathon Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.17%E -2.99%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.66%E -2.21%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 00:35
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.17%E -2.99%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:25
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.17%E -2.99%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:24
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.17%E -2.99%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:00
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.17%E -2.99%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:28
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.17%E -2.99%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.17%E -2.99%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-04 23:00
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.17%E -2.99%K -7.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 01:23
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.72%E -3.32%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.21%E -1.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:44
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.72%E -3.32%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.21%E -1.99%K -3.76%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 01:45
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.72%E -3.32%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-04 23:24
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.72%E -3.32%K -7.94%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -6.02%E -2.89%K -5.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 23:28
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.26%E -3.66%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.11%E -2.44%K -4.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-04 23:44
Unibet (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -7.91%E -4.71%K -11.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -9.63%E -4.82%K -9.63%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-04 23:45
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 54.40%EV -9.00%E -5.42%K -13.64%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.60%EV -10.54%E -5.32%K -10.75%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-04 23:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 55.80%2.26I 44.25%NM 44.20%0.1%2026-08-05 01:15
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.98%2.17I 46.08%NM 46.02%0.1%2026-08-05 01:15
Novig1.83I 54.64%NM 54.25%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.75%0.7%2026-08-05 01:15
ProphetX1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%0.9%2026-08-05 01:40
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-08-04 23:25
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%2.5%2026-08-05 00:15
Smarkets1.68I 59.52%NM 54.59%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.41%9.0%2026-08-04 23:30