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Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)
Predicción 54.76%1.83momio equitativo
EV -1.43%
Ventaja -0.794%
Kelly -1.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%54.78%54.78%56.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.671.741.751.8059.88%57.33%57.14%55.56%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)
Predicción 45.24%2.21momio equitativo
EV +0.881%
Ventaja +0.395%
Kelly +0.716%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.97%45.22%45.22%46.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.102.2350.00%47.27%47.62%44.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 54.76%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante): 45.24%. Para Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.21. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.23, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.881%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV +0.881%E +0.395%K +0.716%G +0.006% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.67%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.33%EV -0.024%E -0.011%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%EV -2.52%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%EV -0.476%E -0.216%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 1.6% | 2026-08-05 23:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.476%E -0.216%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.928%E -0.424%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.928%E -0.424%K -0.780%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%EV -1.98%E -1.10%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%EV -1.38%E -0.633%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.52%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.38%E -0.633%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.52%E -1.42%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.83%E -0.845%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-05 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%EV -1.43%E -0.794%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%EV -2.29%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-05 20:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.29%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.29%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -2.29%E -1.06%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-05 15:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 23:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.74%E -1.27%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 23:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -3.19%E -1.49%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-05 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-05 22:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.10%E -1.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 23:13 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -4.55%E -2.16%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 14:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 17:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-05 13:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 13:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 13:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 13:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 13:49 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 13:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 13:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 13:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 13:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-05 02:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.36%E -3.72%K -8.95%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.86%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.00%E -2.38%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-05 15:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.45%E -2.61%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.90%E -2.84%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-05 23:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.62%E -2.06%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.36%E -3.07%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-05 14:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.07%E -1.74%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-05 13:04 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.71%E -2.71%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-05 13:55 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.26%E -3.04%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-05 23:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.81%E -3.38%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-05 23:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.55%E -5.12%K -12.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.26%E -3.54%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-05 22:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.52%E -4.76%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 23:29 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.17%E -2.38%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.52%E -4.76%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-05 23:33 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 56.16% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.84% | 0.0% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.20% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 44.80% | 0.1% | 2026-08-05 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-08-05 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 23:35 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-05 23:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-08-05 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-08-05 23:25 |