Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 23:41 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 44.76%2.23fair odd
EV -1.52%
Edge -0.693%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.73%44.76%45.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.142.152.2050.00%46.74%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit)

Prediction 55.24%1.81fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -0.941%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.26%55.27%55.24%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.731.721.7860.98%57.92%58.14%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 44.76%; Pittsburgh Pirates (Visit): 55.24%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -1.52%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-24 03:35
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-24 03:39
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.68%E -0.941%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-24 03:15
BetOnline.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-24 03:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-24 03:34
Pinnacle🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-24 03:50
BetUS🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-24 03:35
FanDuel🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 23:29
Unibet (NL)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 01:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 01:40
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 23:30
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 19:54
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 21:14
MyBookie.ag🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 23:43
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 23:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 02:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:20
Coral🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:39
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
Bally Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
betPARX🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
Neds🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:20
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:50
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:14
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:14
BetMGM🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:20
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 02:19
Bovada🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 23:54
Unibet (UK)🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 20:44
Bet Right🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:39
BetRivers🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:40
TABtouch🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:39
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.66%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 19:54
Coolbet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:14
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:20
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:20
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.55%E -2.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:12
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 18:09
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:10
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:14
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:04
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:45
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:25
Dabble (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:24
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 23:44
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.41%E -5.74%K -14.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 18:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%0.6%2026-04-24 02:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-23 23:44
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.89%1.2%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-04-24 03:30
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-04-24 03:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-04-24 00:05
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 45.07%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.93%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50