La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v Pittsburgh Pirates

Inicio: 2026-04-24 23:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 44.76%2.23momio equitativo
EV -1.52%
Ventaja -0.693%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.72%44.73%44.76%45.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.142.152.2050.00%46.74%46.51%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Pittsburgh Pirates (Visitante)

Predicción 55.24%1.81momio equitativo
EV -1.68%
Ventaja -0.941%
Kelly -2.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.26%55.27%55.24%56.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.731.721.7860.98%57.92%58.14%56.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-24 03:35
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.52%E -0.693%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-24 03:39
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.68%E -0.941%K -2.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-24 03:15
BetOnline.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-24 03:35
LowVig.ag2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-24 03:34
Pinnacle2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-24 03:50
BetUS2.18I 45.87%NM 44.81%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.19%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-24 03:35
FanDuel2.18I 45.87%NM 44.10%EV -2.42%E -1.11%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.90%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 23:29
Unibet (NL)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet (SE)2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 01:40
Svenska Spel2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -2.87%E -1.32%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-24 01:40
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.33%E -1.90%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-23 23:30
Caesars2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 19:54
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 21:14
MyBookie.ag2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 23:43
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-23 23:50
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 02:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:20
Coral2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-24 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
Casumo2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
LeoVegas2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:39
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
Bally Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
betPARX2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:40
Neds2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-24 01:20
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 03:40
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 02:50
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:14
Mr Green (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:14
888sport (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:14
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-24 01:20
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-23 18:04
Tipico (DE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.76%E -1.75%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-24 02:19
Bovada2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-23 23:54
Unibet (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-23 20:44
Bet Right2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-23 18:14
LiveScore Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:40
Virgin Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:39
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:40
TABtouch2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.21%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 01:39
DraftKings2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.66%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.89%E -2.23%K -5.25%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-23 19:54
Coolbet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 18:14
PlayUp2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:20
Betsson2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:20
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.11%E -2.41%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-24 01:20
Marathon Bet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.55%E -2.63%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-24 03:12
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 18:09
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.23%E -1.26%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-24 03:10
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 18:14
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-23 19:04
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.44%E -2.57%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-24 02:45
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:05
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 18:25
Dabble (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.99%E -2.90%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-24 03:24
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.00%E -2.86%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.54%E -3.24%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 23:44
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -8.24%E -4.02%K -7.85%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -7.75%E -4.64%K -11.57%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 23:44
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.05%EV -10.48%E -5.24%K -10.48%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 54.95%EV -9.41%E -5.74%K -14.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 18:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig2.19I 45.66%NM 45.39%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.61%0.6%2026-04-24 02:40
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-04-23 23:44
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.11%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.89%1.2%2026-04-24 03:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-04-24 03:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%1.4%2026-04-24 03:30
BetOpenly2.20I 45.45%NM 44.72%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.28%1.6%2026-04-24 03:45
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%1.9%2026-04-24 03:00
Matchbook2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%3.1%2026-04-24 00:05
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 45.07%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.93%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50