Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Philadelphia Phillies

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 4–0 Philadelphia Phillies

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 46.01%2.17fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.497%
Kelly -0.929%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.65%46.27%45.95%48.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.072.072.1553.19%48.29%48.31%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Philadelphia Phillies (Visit)

Prediction 53.99%1.85fair odd
EV +2.03%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +2.28%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.79%53.73%54.05%55.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.761.761.8960.24%56.88%56.82%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 46.01%; Philadelphia Phillies (Visit): 53.99%. For Philadelphia Phillies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.85. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.89, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV +2.03%E +1.08%K +2.28%G +0.046%2.2%2026-06-14 13:00
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.75%E -0.960%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 18:00
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.75%E -0.960%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.75%E -0.960%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 18:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -9.81%E -5.01%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -1.75%E -0.960%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 18:10
BetUS🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.29%E -1.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 17:40
BetAnything🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.29%E -1.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 17:40
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.07%E -0.497%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.99%E -0.934%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.99%E -0.934%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-14 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:00
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:00
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 14:50
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.83%E -1.83%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 15:00
Bovada🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 15:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 15:00
Dabble (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 18:00
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.89%E -4.49%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 18:10
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:00
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:00
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:01
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:00
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 15:00
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 14:59
Marathon Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 18:00
Bet Right🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:10
Coolbet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:10
SportsBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 15:00
NordicBet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:59
Betsson🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 18:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 15:20
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:00
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 15:00
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 15:50
Betclic (FR)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-14 18:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.07%E -0.497%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:30
FanDuel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 18:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -13.49%E -7.18%K -15.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-14 18:10
Casumo🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.53%E -0.714%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 17:50
Bally Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.53%E -0.714%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 17:50
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:00
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.22%E -4.84%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 18:10
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.22%E -4.84%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 17:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.22%E -4.84%K -11.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 18:10
LiveScore Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -9.30%E -5.54%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 18:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -9.30%E -5.54%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 18:10
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.30%E -5.54%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 18:10
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.86%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -10.38%E -6.26%K -15.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 18:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-06-14 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-06-14 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-06-14 18:10
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-06-14 18:10
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-06-14 18:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-14 15:30
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-14 17:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-06-14 18:10
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%4.9%2026-06-14 18:10
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-06-14 18:09