La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v Philadelphia Phillies

Inicio: 2026-06-14 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 4–0 Philadelphia Phillies

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 46.01%2.17momio equitativo
EV -1.07%
Ventaja -0.497%
Kelly -0.929%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.65%46.27%45.95%48.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.882.072.072.1553.19%48.29%48.31%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Philadelphia Phillies (Visitante)

Predicción 53.99%1.85momio equitativo
EV +2.03%
Ventaja +1.08%
Kelly +2.28%
Crecimiento +0.046%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.79%53.73%54.05%55.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.761.761.8960.24%56.88%56.82%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -6.59%E -3.25%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV +2.03%E +1.08%K +2.28%G +0.046%2.2%2026-06-14 13:00
Pinnacle2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.75%E -0.960%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 18:00
Everygame2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.75%E -0.960%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 17:50
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -1.75%E -0.960%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 18:10
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -9.81%E -5.01%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -1.75%E -0.960%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 18:10
BetUS2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.29%E -1.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 17:40
BetAnything2.12I 47.17%NM 46.06%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.94%EV -2.29%E -1.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-14 17:40
GTbets2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.07%E -0.497%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-14 17:40
LowVig.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.99%E -0.934%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
BetOnline.ag2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -1.99%E -0.934%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-14 17:40
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-14 15:10
Ladbrokes (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:00
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 15:00
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 14:50
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.83%E -1.57%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
MyBookie.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.83%E -1.83%K -3.51%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 15:00
Bovada2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 15:40
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 15:00
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 15:00
Dabble (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 18:00
DraftKings1.98I 50.51%NM 47.34%EV -8.89%E -4.49%K -9.07%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.66%EV -3.91%E -2.19%K -5.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-14 18:10
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:00
ReBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:00
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:00
Caesars2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:01
theScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 15:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 15:00
BetMGM2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 14:59
Marathon Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.45%E -2.51%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-14 18:00
Bet Right2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:10
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 17:10
SportsBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 15:00
NordicBet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 17:59
Betsson2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 18:09
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.99%E -2.83%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 15:20
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 15:00
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 18:00
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 15:00
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-14 15:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-14 15:50
Betclic (FR)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -10.27%E -5.27%K -10.81%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -5.53%E -3.16%K -7.37%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-14 18:10
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.07%E -0.497%K -0.929%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.20%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-14 17:30
FanDuel2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -5.21%E -2.53%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 18:10
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.07%EV -13.49%E -7.18%K -15.33%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.93%EV -6.07%E -3.49%K -8.20%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-14 18:10
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.53%E -0.714%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 17:50
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -1.53%E -0.714%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.05%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 17:50
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.05%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-14 16:00
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.61%E -3.82%K -9.05%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-14 15:00
Unibet (NL)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
Unibet (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
Unibet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
Svenska Spel2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
ATG (SE)2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.65%EV -2.45%E -1.16%K -2.19%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.35%EV -7.68%E -4.49%K -10.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 18:10
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.22%E -4.84%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 18:10
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.37%E -1.60%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.22%E -4.84%K -11.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 17:50
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -7.97%E -3.99%K -7.97%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.22%E -4.84%K -11.75%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-14 18:10
LiveScore Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -9.30%E -5.54%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 18:10
Virgin Bet2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%EV -4.29%E -2.06%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%EV -9.30%E -5.54%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-14 18:10
BetRivers2.07I 48.31%NM 44.80%EV -4.75%E -2.29%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.20%EV -9.30%E -5.54%K -13.68%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-14 18:10
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.67%E -2.77%K -5.40%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.84%E -5.89%K -14.69%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-14 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 44.86%EV -6.13%E -3.01%K -5.89%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.14%EV -10.38%E -6.26%K -15.73%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-14 18:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-06-14 18:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-06-14 18:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-06-14 18:10
ProphetX2.19I 45.66%NM 45.25%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.75%0.9%2026-06-14 18:10
Novig2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-06-14 18:10
Kalshi2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-06-14 15:30
Polymarket2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-06-14 17:00
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.04%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.96%2.8%2026-06-14 18:10
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%4.9%2026-06-14 18:10
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%5.6%2026-06-14 18:09