Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v New York Yankees

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 New York Yankees

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 51.86%1.93fair odd
EV -1.99%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.89

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.40%51.72%51.96%52.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.851.851.8955.56%54.20%54.05%52.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Yankees (Visit)

Prediction 48.14%2.08fair odd
EV +0.132%
Edge +0.063%
Kelly +0.122%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.08

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.07%48.28%48.04%49.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.901.971.962.0852.63%50.67%51.02%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 51.86%; New York Yankees (Visit): 48.14%. For New York Yankees (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.077. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.080, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.132%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV +0.132%E +0.063%K +0.122%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 17:59
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-10 17:49
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.54%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 17:44
BetUS🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.54%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 18:09
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.54%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.31%E -0.640%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 17:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.54%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.31%E -0.640%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 17:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -1.79%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 18:09
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.99%E -1.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.28%E -1.12%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-10 16:40
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 16:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 16:19
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 17:49
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 16:04
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 16:04
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 16:18
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 18:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 18:04
Coolbet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 17:59
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:59
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 16:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.20%E -2.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 18:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 16:20
FanDuel🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.54%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 16:39
Bet Right🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.58%E -2.49%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 17:59
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:59
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:10
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:09
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.65%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 16:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.65%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 17:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.65%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 16:19
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 16:04
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 18:09
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 18:09
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:39
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 16:09
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
LiveScore Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:40
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 16:19
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 17:39
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 17:39
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 17:49
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 18:09
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 16:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 16:05
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 18:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-05-10 18:10
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-05-10 18:09
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-05-10 18:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-10 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-05-10 18:09
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-10 18:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-10 16:40
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-05-10 18:10
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-05-10 18:04
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%5.0%2026-05-10 18:09