La escuela de los momios

Milwaukee Brewers v New York Yankees

Inicio: 2026-05-10 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 4–3 New York Yankees

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 51.86%1.93momio equitativo
EV -1.99%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -2.23%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.40%51.72%51.96%52.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.851.851.8955.56%54.20%54.05%52.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

New York Yankees (Visitante)

Predicción 48.14%2.08momio equitativo
EV +0.132%
Ventaja +0.063%
Kelly +0.122%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.08

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.07%48.28%48.04%49.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.901.971.962.0852.63%50.67%51.02%48.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%EV +0.132%E +0.063%K +0.122%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 17:59
Pinnacle1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-10 17:49
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.54%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 17:44
BetUS1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -3.54%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.831%E -0.403%K -0.784%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 18:09
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.54%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.31%E -0.640%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 17:44
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -3.54%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -1.31%E -0.640%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 17:44
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -1.79%E -0.879%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-10 18:09
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -1.99%E -1.05%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -2.28%E -1.12%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-10 16:40
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-10 16:05
Unibet (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 16:19
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 17:49
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 16:59
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 16:04
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 16:04
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 16:18
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 18:04
Dabble (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 18:04
Coolbet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 17:59
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:59
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:59
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.72%E -1.86%K -3.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 16:59
Marathon Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.20%E -2.11%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 18:09
MyBookie.ag1.87I 53.48%NM 51.43%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.57%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 16:20
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -3.54%E -1.90%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 16:39
Bet Right1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -4.58%E -2.49%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 17:59
PlayUp1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:09
Betr (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:59
Betsson1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:10
NordicBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.68%E -2.36%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 17:09
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.65%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 16:40
Unibet (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.65%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 17:59
Winamax (DE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.65%E -2.88%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 16:19
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 16:04
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 16:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 18:09
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 18:09
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:10
Unibet (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:39
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 17:39
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.13%E -3.14%K -6.45%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 16:09
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
LeoVegas1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
LiveScore Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
Grosvenor1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:40
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-10 17:39
Winamax (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.60%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -6.61%E -3.41%K -7.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-10 16:19
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 17:39
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -7.09%E -3.67%K -7.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-10 17:39
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 17:49
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 18:09
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.10%E -2.79%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.05%E -4.22%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 16:09
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -3.02%E -1.62%K -3.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 16:05
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -4.06%E -2.19%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -8.53%E -4.49%K -9.48%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 18:04
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.50%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.50%0.1%2026-05-10 18:10
Novig1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-05-10 18:09
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-05-10 18:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-05-10 18:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%0.9%2026-05-10 18:09
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-10 18:10
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-10 16:40
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-05-10 18:10
Smarkets1.88I 53.19%NM 51.79%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.21%2.7%2026-05-10 18:04
BetOpenly1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%5.0%2026-05-10 18:09