Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-08 23:11 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (18 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 57.74%1.73fair odd
EV -0.690%
Edge -0.401%
Kelly -0.959%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.85%57.94%57.72%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.651.651.7265.36%60.50%60.61%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Minnesota Twins (Visit)

Prediction 42.26%2.37fair odd
EV +5.65%
Edge +2.26%
Kelly +3.77%
Growth +0.213%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%42.06%42.28%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.262.252.5047.62%44.34%44.44%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 57.74%; Minnesota Twins (Visit): 42.26%. For Minnesota Twins (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.37. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.50, producing a positive expected value of +5.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.66%E -7.62%K -22.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.65%E +2.26%K +3.77%G +0.213%5.4%2026-08-07 22:45
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.42%E -1.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.685%E -0.291%K -0.507%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-07 19:22
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.42%E -1.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.53%E -0.657%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 20:14
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.53%E -0.657%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 21:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.42%E -1.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.38%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.42%E -1.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.38%E -1.03%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.80%E -1.22%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 19:30
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.22%E -1.41%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:24
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -0.690%E -0.401%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV -4.07%E -1.79%K -3.20%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-07 19:04
FanDuel🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.36%EV -3.00%E -1.79%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.64%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 22:50
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 22:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.49%E -1.99%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:45
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.42%E -1.43%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 19:34
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 18:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:15
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:25
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.31%E -3.24%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:50
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 19:10
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.46%E -3.99%K -10.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.04%E -4.37%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.91%E -2.18%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 22:49
Coolbet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.15%E -2.50%K -6.29%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.76%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 23:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.89%E -3.61%K -9.34%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.76%E -2.58%K -4.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 22:50
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -6.18%E -2.78%K -5.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-07 19:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 18:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.58%E -2.14%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:20
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.73%E -2.87%K -7.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.02%E -3.19%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 18:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.62%E -4.76%K -12.70%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.14%E -4.25%K -7.95%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 57.07%EV -8.77%E -5.55%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -11.25%E -5.36%K -10.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-07 22:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.73I 57.80%NM 57.80%2.37I 42.19%NM 42.20%-0.0%2026-08-07 22:55
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-07 19:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-07 21:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%1.7%2026-08-07 22:10
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-08-07 23:30
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.30%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%10.5%2026-08-07 22:50
Arbitrage (16 combinations) +1.90%1xBet 1.72 (59.2%) / BoyleSports 2.50 (40.8%)Show all 16 combinations
Milwaukee Brewers (Local)Minnesota Twins (Visit)Margin
1xBet🎯 1.72 (59.2%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.8%)+1.90%
Caesars🎯 1.69 (59.7%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.3%)+0.835%
GTbets🎯 1.69 (59.7%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.3%)+0.835%
LowVig.ag🎯 1.69 (59.7%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.3%)+0.835%
BetOnline.ag🎯 1.69 (59.7%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.3%)+0.835%
theScore Bet🎯 1.69 (59.7%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.3%)+0.835%
Pinnacle🎯 1.68 (59.8%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
FanDuel🎯 1.68 (59.8%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.2%)+0.478%
PointsBet (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Bovada🎯 1.67 (60.0%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Fanatics🎯 1.67 (60.0%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Betway🎯 1.67 (60.0%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Bet Right🎯 1.67 (60.0%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Betr (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 1.67 (60.0%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%
Neds🎯 1.67 (60.0%)BoyleSports🎯 2.50 (40.0%)+0.120%