Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers v Minnesota Twins

2026-08-08 23:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

51 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Predicción 57.74%1.73momio equitativo
EV -2.41%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -3.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.85%57.75%57.72%58.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.601.651.651.6962.50%60.46%60.61%59.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Minnesota Twins (Visitante)

Predicción 42.26%2.37momio equitativo
EV -0.699%
Ventaja -0.297%
Kelly -0.517%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.71%42.25%42.28%43.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.152.252.252.3546.51%44.39%44.44%42.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 57.74%; Minnesota Twins (Visitante): 42.26%. Para Minnesota Twins (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.37. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.35, con un valor esperado de -0.699%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.41%E -1.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.699%E -0.297%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-07 19:22
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.41%E -1.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.699%E -0.297%K -0.517%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-08 00:25
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.41%E -1.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.54%E -0.663%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-08 00:15
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.96%EV -2.41%E -1.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.04%EV -1.54%E -0.663%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 20:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.41%E -1.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.39%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.75%EV -2.41%E -1.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 42.25%EV -2.39%E -1.03%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-07 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -2.41%E -1.43%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-07 19:34
Pinnacle🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -2.99%E -1.78%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.54%E -0.663%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-07 21:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.81%E -1.22%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-07 19:30
Fanatics🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 18:50
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-07 23:15
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-08 00:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:20
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.57%E -2.14%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.14%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.66%E -1.60%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 00:35
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.14%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.14%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.14%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.14%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:30
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.14%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -4.14%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 00:30
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -4.14%E -2.50%K -6.28%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -5.35%E -2.39%K -4.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 00:35
Bovada🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.66%E -1.60%K -2.86%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-08 00:40
888sport🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 22:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:25
PlayUp🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:25
Coral🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-07 19:20
Coolbet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 00:35
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:30
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.72%E -2.86%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-07 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -3.23%E -1.41%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-07 19:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.95%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.05%EV -4.50%E -1.99%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-07 23:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 00:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 22:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.30%E -3.23%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -7.04%E -3.20%K -5.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 00:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.77%EV -5.88%E -3.61%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.23%EV -5.77%E -2.59%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 22:50
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-08 00:45
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 19:10
ReBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.45%E -3.98%K -10.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-07 23:10
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.03%E -4.37%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -4.92%E -2.19%K -3.94%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-07 22:49
Grosvenor🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.45%EV -7.61%E -4.76%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.55%EV -8.73%E -4.04%K -7.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.61%E -4.76%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-07 23:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -7.61%E -4.76%K -12.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -9.15%E -4.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 00:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 58.39%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.61%0.1%2026-08-08 00:40
Kalshi1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-07 19:00
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-07 21:15
Novig1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-08-08 00:20
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%3.4%2026-08-07 23:30
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.30%2.12I 47.17%NM 42.70%10.5%2026-08-07 22:50