Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers v Miami Marlins

Kickoff: 2026-07-19 18:11 UTC

Final: Milwaukee Brewers 3–1 Miami Marlins

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prediction 54.24%1.84fair odd
EV -0.740%
Edge -0.405%
Kelly -0.892%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.88%54.31%54.26%55.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.761.761.8358.82%56.81%56.82%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Miami Marlins (Visit)

Prediction 45.76%2.19fair odd
EV -1.62%
Edge -0.752%
Kelly -1.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.74%45.69%45.74%47.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.082.102.1550.00%47.97%47.62%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Milwaukee Brewers (Local): 54.24%; Miami Marlins (Visit): 45.76%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.84. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.83, with an expected value of -0.740%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.740%E -0.405%K -0.892%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.99%E -1.41%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-19 12:10
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.28%E -0.705%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.45%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 18:05
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.07%E -0.969%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 18:05
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.62%E -0.752%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 16:20
Everygame🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.62%E -0.752%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 12:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 16:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 16:20
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.45%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 06:05
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:05
MyBookie.ag🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 18:10
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.45%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.07%E -0.969%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 16:25
Svenska Spel🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.45%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.07%E -0.969%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 16:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.45%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 15:44
ReBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 12:15
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 10:05
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 10:40
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 17:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 07:55
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 17:40
PlayUp🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:05
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 15:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 16:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 16:25
DraftKings🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.36%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
Bet Right🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 16:05
Coolbet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 11:24
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.28%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 06:15
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.28%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:45
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.28%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 11:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:15
Casumo🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:00
Unibet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:49
Bally Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:50
betPARX🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 18:00
LeoVegas🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 18:10
Paddy Power🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 16:25
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 16:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 16:25
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 18:10
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 18:10
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 16:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 16:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 16:05
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:25
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 00:15
Grosvenor🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 16:25
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 18:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -8.02%E -3.99%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 17:45
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.79%E -4.58%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 09:30
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.79%E -4.58%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 17:59
betano_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.79%E -4.58%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 17:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-07-19 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-19 18:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-19 16:05
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-19 18:00
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-19 17:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-19 15:45
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-07-19 18:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%4.7%2026-07-19 18:10