L’École des cotes

Milwaukee Brewers v Miami Marlins

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-19 18:11 UTC

Score final : Milwaukee Brewers 3–1 Miami Marlins

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Milwaukee Brewers (Local)

Prévision 54.24%1.84cote équitable
EV -0.740%
Avantage -0.405%
Kelly -0.892%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.88%54.31%54.26%55.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.701.761.761.8358.82%56.81%56.82%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Miami Marlins (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.76%2.19cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.752%
Kelly -1.41%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.74%45.69%45.74%47.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.082.102.1550.00%47.97%47.62%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -0.740%E -0.405%K -0.892%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.99%E -1.41%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.8%2026-07-19 12:10
BetUS1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.28%E -0.705%K -1.56%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -3.45%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-19 18:05
Pinnacle1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -1.83%E -1.01%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -2.07%E -0.969%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-19 18:05
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.62%E -0.752%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 16:20
Everygame1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.62%E -0.752%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-19 12:19
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 16:20
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.53%E -1.19%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-19 16:20
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -3.45%E -1.63%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-19 06:05
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.37%E -1.32%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 16:05
MyBookie.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -2.91%E -1.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-19 18:10
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.45%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.07%E -0.969%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 16:25
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%EV -3.45%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%EV -2.07%E -0.969%K -1.82%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-19 16:25
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.45%E -1.94%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-19 16:15
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 17:35
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 15:44
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 12:15
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-18 18:19
Hard Rock Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 10:05
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 10:40
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 17:50
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-19 07:55
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-19 17:35
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 17:40
PlayUp1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 18:05
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.99%E -2.26%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 15:55
Unibet (NL)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 16:25
Unibet (SE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-19 16:25
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -4.36%E -2.09%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-18 18:20
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 16:05
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-19 11:24
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.28%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 06:15
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.28%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:45
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -5.28%E -2.55%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-19 15:45
Marathon Bet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.93%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.07%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 18:05
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.54%E -2.58%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 11:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 16:15
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:00
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:05
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:49
Bally Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:50
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-19 15:50
Unibet (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-19 18:00
LeoVegas1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.57%E -3.75%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 18:10
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.08%E -2.90%K -6.77%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.48%E -4.24%K -8.48%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-19 15:44
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 16:25
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 16:25
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.45%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.55%EV -4.82%E -2.32%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 16:25
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 18:10
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.62%E -3.23%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-19 18:10
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 16:05
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 16:05
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-19 16:05
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 20:25
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.16%E -3.56%K -8.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-19 00:15
Grosvenor1.72I 58.14%NM 54.50%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.50%EV -5.73%E -2.78%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-19 16:25
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-19 18:10
Betclic (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.89%EV -6.71%E -3.90%K -9.32%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -8.02%E -3.99%K -7.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 17:45
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.79%E -4.58%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.90%E -1.86%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-19 09:30
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.79%E -4.58%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 17:59
betano_uk1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.79%E -4.58%K -11.13%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.19%E -3.02%K -5.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 17:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%0.1%2026-07-19 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-19 18:10
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%0.6%2026-07-19 16:05
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%0.8%2026-07-19 18:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-19 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%0.9%2026-07-19 18:00
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-19 17:05
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-19 15:45
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-07-19 18:10
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%4.7%2026-07-19 18:10