A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-05-08 23:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 2–3 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 55.66%1.80odd justa
EV -1.49%
Vantagem -0.841%
Kelly -1.93%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.77

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
54.67%55.69%55.70%57.36%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.671.721.711.7759.88%58.25%58.48%56.50%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 44.34%2.26odd justa
EV +1.99%
Vantagem +0.866%
Kelly +1.53%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.64%44.31%44.30%45.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.162.152.3048.78%46.31%46.51%43.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.99%E +0.866%K +1.53%G +0.031%2.0%2026-05-08 22:24
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV +0.661%E +0.291%K +0.521%G +0.003%2.2%2026-05-08 22:59
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.226%E -0.100%K -0.180%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-08 22:58
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.56%E -0.701%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-08 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.56%E -0.701%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-08 22:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.56%E -0.701%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-08 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 15:15
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 21:44
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 20:49
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 20:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 21:44
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 22:52
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 21:19
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.50%E -3.87%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:34
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.49%E -0.841%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-08 14:54
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 21:44
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.33%E -1.53%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 20:32
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.33%E -1.53%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:50
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 19:44
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.05%E -1.16%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 22:34
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 21:39
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 21:44
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 21:49
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 14:59
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 21:44
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:34
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:34
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:34
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:35
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 19:49
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:34
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 21:44
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:50
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 22:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:39
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 23:09
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 21:39
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.72%E -2.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:34
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.72%E -2.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:34
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.72%E -2.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:34
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.72%E -2.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:34
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:50
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.88%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 22:44
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.88%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.88%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 15:09
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.50%E -3.87%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.88%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 19:49
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.09%E -4.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 22:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-05-08 22:50
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-08 23:05
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-08 23:04
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-08 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-08 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-08 22:50
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-08 16:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-08 16:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-08 23:04