Die Schule der Quoten

Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals

Spielbeginn: 2026-05-08 23:11 UTC

Endstand: Miami Marlins 2–3 Washington Nationals

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (19 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Miami Marlins (Heim)

Prognose 55.66%1.80faire Quote
EV -1.49%
Vorteil -0.841%
Kelly -1.93%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.77

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
54.67%55.69%55.70%57.36%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.671.721.711.7759.88%58.25%58.48%56.50%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Washington Nationals (Auswärts)

Prognose 44.34%2.26faire Quote
EV +1.99%
Vorteil +0.866%
Kelly +1.53%
Wachstum +0.031%

bei einer Höchstquote von 2.30

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
42.64%44.31%44.30%45.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
2.052.162.152.3048.78%46.31%46.51%43.48%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV +1.99%E +0.866%K +1.53%G +0.031%2.0%2026-05-08 22:24
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.89%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.11%EV +0.661%E +0.291%K +0.521%G +0.003%2.2%2026-05-08 22:59
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 56.39%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.61%EV -0.226%E -0.100%K -0.180%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-08 22:58
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.56%E -0.701%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-08 22:59
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.56%E -0.701%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-08 22:59
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%EV -1.56%E -0.701%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-08 21:39
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 15:15
ReBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 21:44
Hard Rock Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 20:49
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 20:50
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 21:44
Bovada1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-08 22:52
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 21:19
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.50%E -3.87%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:49
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.44%E -1.11%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 22:34
1xBet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.30%EV -1.49%E -0.841%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.70%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-08 14:54
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.89%E -1.32%K -2.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 21:44
Caesars1.71I 58.48%NM 56.04%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.96%EV -3.33%E -1.53%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-08 20:32
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -3.33%E -1.53%K -2.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:50
DraftKings1.71I 58.48%NM 55.93%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.07%EV -3.77%E -1.74%K -3.22%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 19:44
Svenska Spel1.76I 56.82%NM 55.10%EV -2.05%E -1.16%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.90%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-08 22:34
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-08 21:39
Betsson1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 21:44
NordicBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.10%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.90%EV -4.22%E -1.95%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-08 21:49
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-08 14:59
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 21:44
888sport (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:34
888sport1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:34
Mr Green (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:34
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 20:35
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 19:49
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:34
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 21:44
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 20:50
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -5.94%E -3.52%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-08 22:59
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.05%E -4.22%K -10.53%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.66%E -2.17%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 21:39
Unibet (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 23:09
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 55.01%EV -2.60%E -1.49%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.99%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-08 23:09
SportsBet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -5.10%E -2.38%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-08 21:39
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
Bally Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.16%E -1.82%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-08 23:09
BetRivers1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.72%E -2.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:34
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.72%E -2.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:34
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.72%E -2.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:34
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -3.72%E -2.15%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-08 22:34
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.27%E -2.48%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.99%E -2.83%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-08 14:50
Fliff1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.88%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 22:44
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.83%E -2.82%K -6.80%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.88%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-08 23:09
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.88%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-08 15:09
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -6.50%E -3.87%K -9.56%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -6.88%E -3.27%K -6.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-08 19:49
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.39%E -3.17%K -7.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -9.09%E -4.44%K -8.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-08 22:59
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (10)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
BetOpenly1.76I 56.82%NM 56.86%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.14%-0.1%2026-05-08 22:50
Novig1.76I 56.82%NM 56.65%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.35%0.3%2026-05-08 23:05
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-08 23:04
ProphetX1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-08 23:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-08 23:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-08 22:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 56.22%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.78%1.1%2026-05-08 22:50
Polymarket1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-08 16:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.2%2026-05-08 16:00
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 56.42%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.58%2.4%2026-05-08 23:04