A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals

Início: 2026-05-10 16:16 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 5–2 Washington Nationals

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 54.93%1.82odd justa
EV +0.518%
Vantagem +0.283%
Kelly +0.624%
Crescimento +0.003%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.66%54.83%54.95%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.701.741.741.8358.82%57.43%57.47%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Previsão 45.07%2.22odd justa
EV -1.74%
Vantagem -0.799%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.18

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.44%45.17%45.05%46.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.052.112.102.1848.78%47.32%47.62%45.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +0.518%E +0.283%K +0.624%G +0.003%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-10 16:15
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.13%E -0.628%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 15:59
GTbets1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.74%E -0.799%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 16:14
Everygame1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.74%E -0.799%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 16:14
BetUS1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 16:14
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 16:14
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 16:14
Svenska Spel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -3.55%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 15:59
MyBookie.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -4.90%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 14:38
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 14:49
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 16:13
Fliff1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 15:59
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 16:09
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:59
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 16:09
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.25%E -3.00%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:44
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.25%E -3.00%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 15:59
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 10:19
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 14:39
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 12:25
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.00%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 16:14
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
BetRivers1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 16:14
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
LeoVegas1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
Virgin Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
LiveScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
ATG (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
FanDuel1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 06:05
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 06:04
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 09:50
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 09:49
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:50
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:49
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:49
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:49
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:54
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 07:34
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 16:15
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 13:50
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 16:15
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 06:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 06:04
NordicBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:14
Betsson1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:14
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 16:04
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 16:14
Betway1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 16:14
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 16:15
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 16:02
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 16:14
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 16:14
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 09:39
DraftKings1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -5.80%E -2.77%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 16:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-10 16:14
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-10 16:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-10 15:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-10 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-10 15:54
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-10 14:45
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-10 15:24
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-05-10 16:15
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-05-10 16:14
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-05-10 16:14