La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Miami Marlins (Local)
Predicción 54.93%1.82momio equitativo
EV +0.518%
Ventaja +0.283%
Kelly +0.624%
Crecimiento +0.003%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.83
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.66%54.83%54.95%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.701.741.741.8358.82%57.43%57.47%54.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Washington Nationals (Visitante)
Predicción 45.07%2.22momio equitativo
EV -1.74%
Ventaja -0.799%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.44%45.17%45.05%46.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.112.102.1848.78%47.32%47.62%45.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +0.518%E +0.283%K +0.624%G +0.003% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 16:15 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.13%E -0.628%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| GTbets | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.74%E -0.799%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Everygame | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.74%E -0.799%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| BetUS | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -3.55%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -4.90%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 14:38 |
| Fanatics | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 14:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 14:49 |
| Caesars | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-10 16:13 |
| Fliff | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| Unibet | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-10 16:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 16:09 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.25%E -3.00%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 14:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.25%E -3.00%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| ReBet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 10:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 14:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-10 12:25 |
| Bovada | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.00%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| BetRivers | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| TABtouch | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| Grosvenor | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 15:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 16:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 06:05 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 06:04 |
| Bet Right | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 09:50 |
| Coolbet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:49 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 09:54 |
| BoyleSports | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 07:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-10 16:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-10 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 16:15 |
| Neds | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 06:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 06:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Betsson | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 16:04 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Betway | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 16:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 16:02 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-10 09:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -5.80%E -2.77%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-10 16:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (10)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91% | 0.3% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| BetOpenly | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 15:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-10 15:54 |
| Polymarket | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 14:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 15:24 |
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 16:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 2.3% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |
| Novig | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69% | 2.3% | 2026-05-10 16:14 |