Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins v Washington Nationals

Inizio: 2026-05-10 16:16 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 5–2 Washington Nationals

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

61 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 54.93%1.82quota equa
EV +0.518%
Vantaggio +0.283%
Kelly +0.624%
Crescita +0.003%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.66%54.83%54.95%55.56%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.741.741.8358.82%57.43%57.47%54.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Washington Nationals (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.07%2.22quota equa
EV -1.74%
Vantaggio -0.799%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.18

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
44.44%45.17%45.05%46.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.112.102.1848.78%47.32%47.62%45.87%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Miami Marlins (Casa): 54.93%; Washington Nationals (Trasferta): 45.07%. Per Miami Marlins (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.82. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 1.83, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.518%.

Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV +0.518%E +0.283%K +0.624%G +0.003%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%1.8%2026-05-10 16:15
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -1.13%E -0.628%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 15:59
GTbets🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.74%E -0.799%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 16:14
Everygame🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.74%E -0.799%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-10 16:14
BetUS🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -2.19%E -1.01%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 16:14
LowVig.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 16:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 54.82%EV -2.23%E -1.25%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.18%EV -2.64%E -1.22%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-10 16:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.73%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.27%EV -3.55%E -1.66%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-10 15:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.38%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.62%EV -4.90%E -2.32%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 14:38
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 14:49
Caesars🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-10 16:13
Fliff🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.78%E -1.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 15:34
Unibet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.40%EV -3.33%E -1.89%K -4.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.60%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 15:59
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-10 16:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 15:59
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 16:09
SportsBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.25%E -3.00%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 14:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -3.88%E -2.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -6.25%E -3.00%K -5.79%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-10 15:59
ReBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 10:19
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 14:39
BetMGM🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-10 12:25
Bovada🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.00%E -1.88%K -3.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 16:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 16:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
BetRivers🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
TABtouch🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 16:14
Casumo🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
LeoVegas🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
Grosvenor🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
betPARX🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 15:59
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -4.43%E -2.54%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 16:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 06:05
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 06:04
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 09:50
Coolbet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 09:49
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:49
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:49
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:49
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 09:54
BoyleSports🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 07:34
Unibet (NL)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-10 16:15
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.97%E -2.88%K -6.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.60%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-10 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 16:15
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 06:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 06:04
NordicBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:14
Betsson🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -4.45%E -2.10%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 16:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 16:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.52%E -3.21%K -7.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 16:14
Betway🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 16:14
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -6.07%E -3.55%K -8.55%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -7.15%E -3.47%K -6.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 16:15
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 16:02
Winamax (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 16:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 16:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.86%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-10 09:39
DraftKings🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.15%EV -6.62%E -3.90%K -9.46%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 44.85%EV -5.80%E -2.77%K -5.32%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-10 16:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 55.09%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.91%0.3%2026-05-10 16:14
BetOpenly1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-05-10 16:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-10 15:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-10 15:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-10 15:54
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-10 14:45
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-05-10 15:24
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.27%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.73%1.2%2026-05-10 16:15
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-05-10 16:14
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%2.3%2026-05-10 16:14