A Escola das Odds

Miami Marlins v Texas Rangers

Início: 2026-06-22 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 3–4 Texas Rangers

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

64 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 54.71%1.83odd justa
EV -2.06%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -2.61%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.79

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.33%54.68%54.69%55.84%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.681.741.741.7959.52%57.51%57.47%55.87%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Previsão 45.29%2.21odd justa
EV -0.371%
Vantagem -0.169%
Kelly -0.309%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
44.16%45.32%45.31%46.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.18%47.17%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (64 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-22 22:39
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-22 22:39
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.28%E -0.586%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-22 22:39
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.73%E -0.797%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-22 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.371%E -0.169%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-22 20:19
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 19:09
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.824%E -0.376%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-22 22:09
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:39
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:39
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 22:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-22 20:09
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 19:19
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:39
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 22:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 22:27
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.371%E -0.169%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-22 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 19:59
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 21:19
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 19:06
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 19:08
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:09
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:38
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.35%E -2.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:38
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-22 22:39
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 17:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 18:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 18:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 13:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 19:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.73%E -0.797%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:29
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.73%E -0.797%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:29
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:30
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:29
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:29
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:30
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 22:19
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 22:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-22 22:29
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-22 22:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-22 22:30
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.1%2026-06-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-06-22 22:40
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-06-22 22:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-06-22 22:40
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%2.4%2026-06-22 22:39