L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v Texas Rangers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-22 22:41 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 3–4 Texas Rangers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

64 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 54.71%1.83cote équitable
EV -2.06%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -2.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.79

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.33%54.68%54.69%55.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.681.741.741.7959.52%57.51%57.47%55.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Texas Rangers (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.29%2.21cote équitable
EV -0.371%
Avantage -0.169%
Kelly -0.309%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.16%45.32%45.31%46.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.18%47.17%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (64 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-22 22:39
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-22 22:39
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.28%E -0.586%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-22 22:39
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.73%E -0.797%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-22 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.371%E -0.169%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-22 20:19
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 19:09
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.824%E -0.376%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-22 22:09
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:39
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:39
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 22:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-22 20:09
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 19:19
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:39
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 22:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 22:27
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.371%E -0.169%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-22 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 19:59
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 21:19
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 19:06
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 19:08
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:09
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:38
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.35%E -2.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:38
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-22 22:39
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 17:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 18:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 18:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 13:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 19:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.73%E -0.797%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:29
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.73%E -0.797%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:29
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:30
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:29
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:29
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:30
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 22:19
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 22:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-22 22:29
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-22 22:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-22 22:30
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.1%2026-06-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-06-22 22:40
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-06-22 22:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-06-22 22:40
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%2.4%2026-06-22 22:39