La escuela de los momios

Miami Marlins v Texas Rangers

Inicio: 2026-06-22 22:41 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 3–4 Texas Rangers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 54.71%1.83momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.61%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.79

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.33%54.68%54.69%55.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.681.741.741.7959.52%57.51%57.47%55.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Rangers (Visitante)

Predicción 45.29%2.21momio equitativo
EV -0.371%
Ventaja -0.169%
Kelly -0.309%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.16%45.32%45.31%46.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.122.2050.00%47.18%47.17%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetUS1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-22 22:39
GTbets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-22 22:39
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:39
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%EV -2.06%E -1.15%K -2.61%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -1.28%E -0.586%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.1%2026-06-22 22:39
1xBet1.78I 56.18%NM 54.94%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.06%EV -1.73%E -0.797%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-22 20:00
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -2.61%E -1.47%K -3.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -0.371%E -0.169%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.0%2026-06-22 20:19
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 22:39
PointsBet (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.16%E -1.78%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 19:09
BetAnything1.76I 56.82%NM 55.44%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 44.56%EV -0.824%E -0.376%K -0.693%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-22 22:09
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:39
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -6.26%E -3.02%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:40
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -3.70%E -2.10%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-22 22:39
FanDuel1.75I 57.14%NM 55.24%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.76%EV -2.18%E -1.01%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-22 22:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 55.13%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.87%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-22 20:09
MyBookie.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-22 19:19
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Neds1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Dabble (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.81%E -2.79%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:39
ReBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-22 22:40
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.25%E -2.43%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.43%E -4.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-22 22:27
Svenska Spel1.74I 57.47%NM 55.84%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.16%EV -0.371%E -0.169%K -0.309%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-22 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 19:59
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 21:19
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-22 19:06
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-22 19:08
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 21:09
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-22 22:38
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -5.35%E -2.56%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-22 22:38
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -4.80%E -2.76%K -6.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-22 22:39
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.18%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.82%EV -3.54%E -1.66%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-22 22:39
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Coolbet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 17:59
Betr (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 18:00
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 18:00
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 13:40
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-22 19:49
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.34%E -3.09%K -7.32%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-22 22:39
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.73%E -0.797%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:29
Unibet (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.78%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.22%EV -1.73%E -0.797%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-22 22:29
Bovada1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-22 22:39
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-22 22:29
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.89%E -3.43%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.16%E -3.49%K -6.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-22 19:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Casumo1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:30
Unibet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
betPARX1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -2.64%E -1.23%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-22 22:29
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:29
BetRivers1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:29
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:30
TABtouch1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -6.44%E -3.77%K -9.07%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -3.09%E -1.44%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-22 22:29
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.99%E -4.11%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.90%E -2.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-22 15:20
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.53%E -4.46%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.62%E -3.73%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-22 22:19
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.08%E -4.81%K -11.88%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.99%E -1.88%K -3.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-22 22:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-06-22 22:29
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-06-22 22:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.0%2026-06-22 22:30
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.25%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.75%1.1%2026-06-22 22:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-06-22 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-06-22 22:40
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.86%1.3%2026-06-22 22:40
Matchbook1.80I 55.56%NM 54.77%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.23%1.4%2026-06-22 22:40
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%2.4%2026-06-22 22:39