Language:English
Miami Marlins v Seattle Mariners
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 53.32%1.88fair odd
EV -0.827%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -0.961%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.95%53.41%53.25%54.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.791.801.8658.82%55.81%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Mariners (Visit)
Prediction 46.68%2.14fair odd
EV -1.04%
Edge -0.489%
Kelly -0.925%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.12
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.22%46.59%46.75%48.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.042.052.1251.28%48.94%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 53.32%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 46.68%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.86, with an expected value of -0.827%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (64 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.827%E -0.445%K -0.961%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.37%E -1.63%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-07-07 22:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.36%E -0.735%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -1.89%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.97%E -0.938%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-07 22:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.97%E -0.938%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.97%E -0.938%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-07 22:29 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.97%E -0.938%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-07 22:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.44%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-07 22:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.44%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-07-07 22:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.96%E -1.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.50%E -0.712%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.96%E -1.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.96%E -1.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-07 21:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.96%E -1.63%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-07 19:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-07 21:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 16:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 15:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 15:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 14:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 22:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 14:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 22:00 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 22:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 22:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 21:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 16:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 21:59 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 18:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 15:05 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 09:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-07 15:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.57%E -3.82%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.97%E -4.60%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-07 20:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-07 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-07 21:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-07 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-07 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-07 22:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.04%E -0.489%K -0.925%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 19:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 19:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 19:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-07 22:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-07 21:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.23%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.97%E -0.938%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-07 22:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.23%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.23%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.23%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -8.04%E -4.08%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-07 22:13 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.29%E -4.82%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-07 22:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.36%E -5.50%K -13.37%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-07 22:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 0.2% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 0.2% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 21:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 14:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46% | 1.5% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43% | 2.6% | 2026-07-07 22:40 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16% | 3.4% | 2026-07-07 22:30 |