Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins v Seattle Mariners

Inizio: 2026-07-07 22:41 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 6–5 Seattle Mariners

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 53.32%1.88quota equa
EV -0.827%
Vantaggio -0.445%
Kelly -0.961%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.95%53.41%53.25%54.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.791.801.8658.82%55.81%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.68%2.14quota equa
EV -1.04%
Vantaggio -0.489%
Kelly -0.925%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.12

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.22%46.59%46.75%48.05%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.952.042.052.1251.28%48.94%48.78%47.17%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Miami Marlins (Casa): 53.32%; Seattle Mariners (Trasferta): 46.68%. Per Miami Marlins (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.88. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.86, con un valore atteso del -0.827%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -0.827%E -0.445%K -0.961%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -3.37%E -1.63%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-07 22:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.36%E -0.735%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 14:40
Pinnacle🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 53.30%EV -1.89%E -1.03%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.70%EV -1.97%E -0.938%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-07 22:35
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.97%E -0.938%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 22:25
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.97%E -0.938%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 22:29
Everygame🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -1.97%E -0.938%K -1.79%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 22:24
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.44%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-07 22:24
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%EV -2.44%E -1.17%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-07 22:25
Fanatics🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.43%E -1.33%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -2.96%E -1.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -1.50%E -0.712%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%EV -2.96%E -1.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%EV -2.90%E -1.40%K -2.69%G +0.000%3.0%2026-07-07 21:45
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -2.96%E -1.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-07 21:05
Neds🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.96%E -1.63%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-07 22:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-07 19:38
Bet Right🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 21:30
DraftKings🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -3.49%E -1.93%K -4.31%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-07 22:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 21:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.37%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.63%EV -3.84%E -1.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-07 21:44
ReBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 16:44
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 15:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 15:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:05
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:00
Caesars🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 14:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:00
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:00
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:39
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 21:05
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 16:05
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 21:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 18:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 15:05
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 09:34
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-07 15:00
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -7.57%E -3.82%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-07 22:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.03%E -2.24%K -5.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.97%E -4.60%K -9.44%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-07 20:15
Unibet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 21:45
Casumo🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 21:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 21:45
betPARX🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 21:45
Bally Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-07 21:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:29
Betsson🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:00
NordicBet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.56%E -2.55%K -5.77%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.70%E -2.82%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-07 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-07 21:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 21:45
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 21:45
BetRivers🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 21:45
TABtouch🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -5.09%E -2.86%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -4.77%E -2.34%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-07 21:45
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.63%E -3.18%K -7.31%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-07 22:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -1.04%E -0.489%K -0.925%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-07 22:40
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 19:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 19:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 19:05
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-07 22:19
Grosvenor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.69%E -3.82%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.64%E -3.32%K -6.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 21:44
Fliff🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -7.23%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -1.97%E -0.938%K -1.79%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-07 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.23%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -7.23%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-07 22:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -7.23%E -4.15%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -8.04%E -4.08%K -8.29%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 22:13
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.29%E -4.82%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-07 22:39
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.36%E -5.50%K -13.37%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.30%E -2.10%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-07 22:33
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%0.2%2026-07-07 22:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-07-07 22:40
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-07 21:50
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-07 14:50
Novig1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-07 22:40
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-07 22:40
Matchbook1.84I 54.35%NM 53.54%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.46%1.5%2026-07-07 22:40
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.57%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.43%2.6%2026-07-07 22:40
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 52.84%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.16%3.4%2026-07-07 22:30