La scuola delle quote

Miami Marlins v San Diego Padres

Inizio: 2026-07-25 20:11 UTC

Finale: Miami Marlins 2–7 San Diego Padres

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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64 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Miami Marlins (Casa)

Previsione 56.70%1.76quota equa
EV -1.91%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -2.62%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.26%56.75%56.63%58.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.681.681.7360.98%59.39%59.52%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

San Diego Padres (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.30%2.31quota equa
EV +1.33%
Vantaggio +0.568%
Kelly +0.991%
Crescita +0.013%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.34

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.79%43.25%43.37%44.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.102.212.202.3447.62%45.20%45.45%42.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (64 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV +1.33%E +0.568%K +0.991%G +0.013%2.3%2026-07-25 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.462%E +0.199%K +0.350%G +0.002%2.6%2026-07-25 20:10
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.462%E +0.199%K +0.350%G +0.002%2.6%2026-07-25 20:10
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.404%E -0.176%K -0.311%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-25 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.404%E -0.176%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 20:09
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.837%E -0.365%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 19:20
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.27%E -0.557%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-25 20:09
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.70%E -0.750%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 20:00
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.91%E -1.11%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.14%E -0.945%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 16:55
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.14%E -0.945%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 20:09
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.57%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 20:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.57%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 20:10
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.57%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.57%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 20:09
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:09
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 20:09
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.87%E -1.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 20:10
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.87%E -1.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 17:50
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 16:50
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 16:35
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 16:35
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 16:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 16:50
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 16:55
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:45
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 20:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:55
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:45
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 20:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:39
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.88%E -3.54%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.88%E -3.54%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 16:09
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.17%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 16:50
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.60%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 16:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.60%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 16:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.60%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 16:55
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.03%E -2.78%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:10
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.48%E -1.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.48%E -1.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:05
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:05
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 20:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 17:45
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.88%E -3.54%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 17:40
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:10
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.06%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 19:59
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (10)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-25 20:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-25 19:30
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-25 20:10
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-25 20:04
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-25 20:05
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-07-25 20:09
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%3.5%2026-07-25 20:10