La escuela de los momios

Miami Marlins v San Diego Padres

Inicio: 2026-07-25 20:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 2–7 San Diego Padres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

64 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 56.70%1.76momio equitativo
EV -1.91%
Ventaja -1.11%
Kelly -2.62%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%56.75%56.63%58.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.641.681.681.7360.98%59.39%59.52%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Predicción 43.30%2.31momio equitativo
EV +1.33%
Ventaja +0.568%
Kelly +0.991%
Crecimiento +0.013%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.79%43.25%43.37%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.212.202.3447.62%45.20%45.45%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (64 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV +1.33%E +0.568%K +0.991%G +0.013%2.3%2026-07-25 20:09
BetOnline.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.462%E +0.199%K +0.350%G +0.002%2.6%2026-07-25 20:10
LowVig.ag1.68I 59.52%NM 58.00%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.00%EV +0.462%E +0.199%K +0.350%G +0.002%2.6%2026-07-25 20:10
Everygame1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -0.404%E -0.176%K -0.311%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-25 18:45
PointsBet (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -0.404%E -0.176%K -0.311%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-25 20:09
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 57.25%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 42.75%EV -0.837%E -0.365%K -0.649%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 19:20
BetUS1.70I 58.82%NM 57.29%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.71%EV -1.27%E -0.557%K -0.992%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-25 20:09
BetAnything1.70I 58.82%NM 57.18%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.82%EV -1.70%E -0.750%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-25 20:00
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.91%E -1.11%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -2.14%E -0.945%K -1.70%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 16:55
Bovada1.67I 59.88%NM 57.51%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.49%EV -2.14%E -0.945%K -1.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 20:09
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.57%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 20:10
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.57%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 20:10
ReBet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.57%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 18:40
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -2.57%E -1.14%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-25 20:09
MyBookie.ag1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:09
DraftKings1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 17:35
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
ATG (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 57.03%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.97%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-25 20:10
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.43%E -1.54%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 20:09
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.63%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.37%EV -3.87%E -1.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 20:10
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -3.87%E -1.74%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 17:50
theScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 16:50
FanDuel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 16:35
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 16:35
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 20:10
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 16:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 16:50
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-25 16:55
Bet Right1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:45
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 18:45
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 20:05
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:55
Betr (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:45
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:55
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 17:55
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:50
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 20:10
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 18:39
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.88%E -3.54%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 20:00
Winamax (DE)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.88%E -3.54%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-25 18:40
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -4.73%E -2.15%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-25 16:09
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -5.17%E -2.36%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 16:50
SportsBet1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -4.18%E -2.47%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -5.60%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 16:50
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.60%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 16:55
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.75%E -2.83%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.60%E -2.57%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 16:55
Grosvenor1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.02%E -4.28%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -6.03%E -2.78%K -5.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:10
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.48%E -1.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 20:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -2.48%E -1.44%K -3.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 20:10
LiveScore Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:05
Virgin Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -3.05%E -1.78%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 19:05
Dabble (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 20:09
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.32%E -3.18%K -7.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 17:45
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 56.43%EV -5.88%E -3.54%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-25 17:40
Betclic (FR)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:10
betano_uk1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:10
LeoVegas1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.45%E -3.91%K -9.92%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.90%E -3.21%K -6.00%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-25 20:10
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.61%E -2.13%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.06%E -4.32%K -8.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-25 19:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-07-25 20:05
Smarkets1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-07-25 20:10
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-25 19:30
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-25 20:10
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-07-25 20:04
ProphetX1.71I 58.48%NM 57.78%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.22%1.2%2026-07-25 20:05
BetOpenly1.72I 58.14%NM 57.00%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.00%2.0%2026-07-25 20:09
Matchbook1.71I 58.48%NM 56.49%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.51%3.5%2026-07-25 20:10