默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins v San Diego Padres

开赛时间: 2026-07-26 17:41 UTC

最终结果: Miami Marlins 3–5 San Diego Padres

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins (主队)

预测 52.17%1.92公平赔率
EV -0.354%
优势 -0.185%
Kelly -0.389%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%52.20%52.16%53.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.831.831.9158.14%54.62%54.64%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

San Diego Padres (客队)

预测 47.83%2.09公平赔率
EV -0.994%
优势 -0.480%
Kelly -0.929%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.07

博彩公司预测分布
46.48%47.80%47.84%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.901.992.002.0752.63%50.27%50.00%48.31%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Miami Marlins (主队):52.17%;San Diego Padres (客队):47.83%。 对于“Miami Marlins (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.91,期望值为-0.354%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.354%E -0.185%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:38
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -0.354%E -0.185%K -0.389%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.875%E -0.461%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.875%E -0.461%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.875%E -0.461%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:40
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.875%E -0.461%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.875%E -0.461%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.12%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:40
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.40%E -0.739%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:39
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 17:39
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.25%E -3.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:35
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:40
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.994%E -0.480%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:35
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.78%E -2.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.25%E -3.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.25%E -3.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:31
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:30
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 17:38
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.82%E -2.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.57%E -3.08%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 16:55
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 17:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 17:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.14%E -4.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.14%E -4.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.14%E -4.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.14%E -4.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.66%E -4.33%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.66%E -4.33%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.70%E -4.97%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 17:29
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.70%E -4.97%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -10.27%E -5.97%K -14.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 17:40
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-07-26 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-26 17:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-26 17:10
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-26 17:30
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-26 17:40
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-26 17:35
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-07-26 17:40
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%4.5%2026-07-26 17:40