Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins v San Diego Padres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-26 17:41 UTC

Score final : Miami Marlins 3–5 San Diego Padres

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

65 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 52.17%1.92cote équitable
EV -0.354%
Avantage -0.185%
Kelly -0.389%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.00%52.20%52.16%53.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.721.831.831.9158.14%54.62%54.64%52.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 47.83%2.09cote équitable
EV -0.994%
Avantage -0.480%
Kelly -0.929%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.48%47.80%47.84%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.901.992.002.0752.63%50.27%50.00%48.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Miami Marlins (Local) : 52.17% ; San Diego Padres (Visiteur) : 47.83%. Pour Miami Marlins (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.92. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 1.91, pour une espérance de -0.354% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (65 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -0.354%E -0.185%K -0.389%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:38
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -0.354%E -0.185%K -0.389%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-26 17:40
Pinnacle🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.53%EV -0.875%E -0.461%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.47%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 17:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.875%E -0.461%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.875%E -0.461%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:40
GTbets🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -0.875%E -0.461%K -0.973%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.875%E -0.461%K -0.973%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.12%E -4.80%K -10.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 17:40
BetUS🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%EV -1.40%E -0.739%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 17:39
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-26 17:39
DraftKings🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -6.25%E -3.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 17:40
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:35
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.44%E -1.31%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:40
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.67%EV -2.96%E -1.59%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.33%EV -0.994%E -0.480%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-26 17:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -2.43%E -1.19%K -2.34%G +0.000%3.1%2026-07-26 17:35
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:35
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:30
BetMGM🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Bovada🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -5.78%E -2.93%K -5.96%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.25%E -3.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -3.48%E -1.88%K -4.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -6.25%E -3.19%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV -3.39%E -1.68%K -3.32%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 17:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:30
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
Bally Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 17:35
SportsBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:30
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:31
NordicBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:30
Betsson🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -5.30%E -2.68%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 17:38
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 17:35
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.53%E -2.47%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 17:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.05%E -2.77%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.82%E -2.42%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 17:35
MyBookie.ag🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -5.57%E -3.08%K -6.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-26 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 17:40
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 15:20
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.76%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.24%EV -3.86%E -1.92%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 16:55
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 17:40
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 17:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 17:30
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-26 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.09%E -3.38%K -7.62%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.65%E -4.53%K -9.50%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 17:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -7.14%E -4.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -1.95%E -0.951%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-26 17:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -7.14%E -4.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -7.14%E -4.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -6.73%E -3.45%K -7.09%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 17:40
Grosvenor🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.15%EV -7.14%E -4.01%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.85%EV -7.21%E -3.72%K -7.67%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-26 17:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.66%E -4.33%K -9.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-26 15:20
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -7.66%E -4.33%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -7.69%E -3.98%K -8.27%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-26 17:40
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.70%E -4.97%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 17:29
betano_uk🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.70%E -4.97%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.34%E -2.17%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 17:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.75%EV -10.27%E -5.97%K -14.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 47.25%EV -8.17%E -4.25%K -8.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 17:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.93I 51.81%NM 51.75%2.07I 48.31%NM 48.25%0.1%2026-07-26 17:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%0.4%2026-07-26 17:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.93I 51.81%NM 51.39%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.61%0.8%2026-07-26 17:40
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-26 17:10
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-26 17:30
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-07-26 17:40
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.2%2026-07-26 17:35
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.66%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.34%2.4%2026-07-26 17:40
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 51.44%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.56%4.5%2026-07-26 17:40