L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v San Diego Padres

2026-07-26 17:41 UTC — MLB

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 54.04%1.85cote équitable
EV -1.11%
Avantage -0.605%
Kelly -1.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.25%53.99%54.00%54.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.721.771.771.8358.14%56.58%56.50%54.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Diego Padres (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.96%2.18cote équitable
EV -1.19%
Avantage -0.552%
Kelly -1.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
45.17%46.01%46.00%46.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.072.062.1550.00%48.26%48.43%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.83I 54.64%NM 53.44%EV -1.11%E -0.605%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.56%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-25 21:30
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.73%E -1.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.19%E -0.552%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-25 20:20
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 54.31%EV -2.73%E -1.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.69%EV -1.65%E -0.769%K -1.44%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-26 01:25
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.73%E -1.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.11%E -0.989%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 19:35
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 54.20%EV -2.73%E -1.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.80%EV -2.11%E -0.989%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.5%2026-07-25 19:35
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.73%E -1.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 22:20
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.73%E -1.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 18:35
Hard Rock Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.73%E -1.52%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-25 21:05
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -3.27%E -1.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.43%EV -1.19%E -0.552%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-26 01:20
FanDuel1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.27%E -1.83%K -4.14%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.40%E -2.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-25 18:30
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -3.94%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-25 20:20
BetRivers1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.40%E -2.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 00:39
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.40%E -2.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 00:40
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.40%E -2.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 00:39
Svenska Spel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.89%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.11%EV -4.40%E -2.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-26 00:39
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.86%E -2.35%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-25 20:15
Bovada1.78I 56.18%NM 53.77%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.23%EV -4.86%E -2.35%K -4.55%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-26 00:44
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.32%E -2.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.32%E -2.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:39
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.32%E -2.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:39
betPARX1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.32%E -2.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:39
Bally Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.32%E -2.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:39
ATG (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.32%E -2.58%K -5.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-26 00:39
Marathon Bet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -3.81%E -2.14%K -4.88%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -6.24%E -3.06%K -6.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 21:29
Betway1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.35%E -2.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 20:20
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.35%E -2.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 20:15
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.35%E -2.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-25 21:20
BetAnything1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.35%E -2.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-26 00:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.35%E -2.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 21:25
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.35%E -2.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-25 21:25
TABtouch1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.35%E -2.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 00:39
Virgin Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.35%E -2.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 00:39
LiveScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.35%E -2.46%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-26 00:40
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 54.29%EV -4.89%E -2.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.71%EV -3.94%E -1.89%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-25 20:25
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.89%E -2.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.40%E -2.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 20:20
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.89%E -2.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.40%E -2.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-25 23:44
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.89%E -2.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.86%E -2.35%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:50
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -4.89%E -2.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.86%E -2.35%K -4.55%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:50
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.89%E -2.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:30
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.89%E -2.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -4.89%E -2.78%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 20:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 21:25
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 21:30
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-25 23:49
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.40%E -2.12%K -4.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-25 20:20
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 18:30
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 20:18
Betclic (FR)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 20:15
888sport1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 18:35
betano_uk1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 20:19
888sport (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 18:35
Mr Green (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.43%E -3.10%K -7.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 18:35
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.97%E -3.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 01:39
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.97%E -3.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-25 21:27
ReBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.97%E -3.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-25 20:15
Grosvenor1.74I 57.47%NM 53.72%EV -5.97%E -3.43%K -8.07%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.28%EV -7.16%E -3.55%K -7.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-26 00:39
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.51%E -3.76%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.48%E -1.66%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-25 22:55
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.51%E -3.76%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.78%E -2.82%K -5.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 23:45
Unibet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.05%E -4.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 23:44
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.05%E -4.10%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -8.08%E -4.04%K -8.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 20:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-07-26 01:24
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-07-25 19:35
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-26 01:20
Novig1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-07-26 01:20
ProphetX1.81I 55.25%NM 54.41%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.59%1.5%2026-07-26 01:45
Matchbook1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%3.0%2026-07-26 01:25
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 53.70%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.30%10.2%2026-07-25 23:50