Language:English
Miami Marlins v New York Mets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 50.64%1.97fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.640%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.87%50.63%50.65%51.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.881.871.9554.64%53.15%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Mets (Visit)
Prediction 49.36%2.03fair odd
EV -1.28%
Edge -0.642%
Kelly -1.28%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.28%49.37%49.35%50.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.941.952.0053.48%51.52%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 50.64%; New York Mets (Visit): 49.36%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.25%E -0.640%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.25%E -0.640%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.25%E -0.640%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.26%E -1.17%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.78%E -0.893%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-23 20:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.26%E -1.17%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.78%E -0.893%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.26%E -1.17%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.27%E -1.15%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 17:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.77%E -1.44%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.78%E -0.893%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.28%E -0.642%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-05-23 19:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 18:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 19:39 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.23%E -2.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.23%E -2.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 20:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.29%E -2.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.26%E -1.66%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-23 05:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.29%E -2.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.74%E -2.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.29%E -2.27%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.28%E -0.642%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-23 19:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 17:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.23%E -2.73%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.83%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 17:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-22 22:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 17:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 00:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 05:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 17:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.25%E -2.19%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 17:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.74%E -2.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 08:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 19:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 17:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.12%K -6.75%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-23 20:08 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 20:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 19:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 20:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 20:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 20:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.74%E -2.46%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 03:39 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 03:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 03:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.82%E -3.71%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.82%E -3.71%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.33%E -4.00%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.26%E -1.66%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.33%E -4.00%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.26%E -1.66%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00% | 0.0% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12% | 0.3% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.1% | 2026-05-23 16:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74% | 2.0% | 2026-05-23 20:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98% | 2.1% | 2026-05-23 20:00 |