Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v New York Mets

Início: 2026-05-23 20:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 4–1 New York Mets

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Previsão 50.64%1.97odd justa
EV -1.25%
Vantagem -0.640%
Kelly -1.31%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.87%50.63%50.65%51.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.881.871.9554.64%53.15%53.48%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

New York Mets (Visitante)

Previsão 49.36%2.03odd justa
EV -1.28%
Vantagem -0.642%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.28%49.37%49.35%50.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.941.952.0053.48%51.52%51.28%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Miami Marlins (Local): 50.64%; New York Mets (Visitante): 49.36%. Para Miami Marlins (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.97. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.95, com valor esperado de -1.25%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.25%E -0.640%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 20:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.25%E -0.640%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 20:09
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -1.25%E -0.640%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.00%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-23 20:09
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.26%E -1.17%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.78%E -0.893%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 20:00
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.77%EV -2.26%E -1.17%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.23%EV -1.78%E -0.893%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-23 20:09
Everygame🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.26%E -1.17%K -2.43%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.27%E -1.15%K -2.32%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 17:30
BetAnything🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 50.90%EV -2.77%E -1.44%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.10%EV -1.78%E -0.893%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-23 20:09
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.28%E -0.642%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-23 19:19
ReBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-23 20:09
Caesars🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 20:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 20:09
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 20:09
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 20:09
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 18:20
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -3.27%E -1.71%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 20:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 20:09
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 19:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.23%E -2.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 20:09
Bovada🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.23%E -2.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 20:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 20:09
Neds🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 20:09
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.78%E -1.99%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.22%E -3.27%K -6.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 20:09
FanDuel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.29%E -2.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.26%E -1.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-23 05:49
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -4.29%E -2.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -4.74%E -2.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 20:09
Marathon Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -4.29%E -2.27%K -4.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 20:09
Svenska Spel🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -1.28%E -0.642%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-23 19:59
MyBookie.ag🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 17:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.23%E -2.73%K -5.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 20:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -4.79%E -2.55%K -5.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -7.21%E -3.83%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 17:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-22 22:59
Bet Right🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 17:29
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 00:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 05:59
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.75%E -1.92%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 17:29
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.25%E -2.19%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 17:29
SportsBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.74%E -2.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 08:19
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 19:49
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.30%E -2.83%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.70%E -4.12%K -8.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-23 17:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.81%E -3.12%K -6.75%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-23 20:08
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 19:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:10
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Grosvenor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:10
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 20:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.74%E -2.46%K -5.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-23 20:09
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 03:39
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 03:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.31%E -3.41%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.73%E -3.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 03:39
Virgin Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.82%E -3.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.82%E -3.71%K -8.12%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -2.76%E -1.40%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-23 20:09
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.33%E -4.00%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.26%E -1.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 20:09
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.72%EV -7.33%E -4.00%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.28%EV -3.26%E -1.66%K -3.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-23 20:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (10)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%2.00I 50.00%NM 50.00%0.0%2026-05-23 20:09
ProphetX1.96I 51.02%NM 50.88%2.03I 49.26%NM 49.12%0.3%2026-05-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-23 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Matchbook1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-05-23 20:09
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49%1.0%2026-05-23 20:09
Polymarket1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-05-23 16:39
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.26%1.97I 50.76%NM 49.74%2.0%2026-05-23 20:09
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%2.1%2026-05-23 20:00