Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins v Milwaukee Brewers

Kickoff: 2026-04-18 20:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 2–5 Milwaukee Brewers

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 51.56%1.94fair odd
EV -1.51%
Edge -0.792%
Kelly -1.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.54%51.59%52.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.851.851.9155.87%54.08%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Milwaukee Brewers (Visit)

Prediction 48.44%2.06fair odd
EV -0.221%
Edge -0.107%
Kelly -0.209%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.12%48.46%48.41%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.961.952.0654.05%51.07%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 51.56%; Milwaukee Brewers (Visit): 48.44%. For Milwaukee Brewers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.065. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.060, with an expected value of -0.221%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.51%E -0.792%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 03:44
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.51%E -0.792%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 01:44
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.03%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 18:50
1xBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.67%E -0.825%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-18 20:03
Pinnacle🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -0.705%E -0.344%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 20:05
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.705%E -0.344%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 20:05
ReBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 20:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 20:10
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 20:10
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 02:35
BetMGM🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 01:09
Coolbet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 01:10
Neds🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Betsson🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 20:09
NordicBet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 20:09
GTbets🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.221%E -0.107%K -0.209%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 20:04
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -0.705%E -0.344%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 20:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -0.705%E -0.344%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 20:00
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 20:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 20:08
LiveScore Bet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 20:10
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 01:10
Coral🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 01:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:10
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 20:10
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 20:10
888sport🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 05:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 05:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 05:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.39%E -5.62%K -12.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 20:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.12%E -2.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.12%E -2.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.00%E -3.65%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:10
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.64%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 20:08
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:05
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:05
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:09
Fliff🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 20:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 20:09
Betway🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 20:10
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.52%E -3.38%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:10
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 20:05
FanDuel🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 20:10
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.00%E -3.65%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 20:10
BetRivers🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:09
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:10
LeoVegas🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.22%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -8.46%E -4.47%K -9.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 20:10
DraftKings🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.70%E -4.30%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -7.70%E -4.30%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -8.94%E -4.76%K -10.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 20:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-04-18 20:05
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-18 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-18 20:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-18 20:10
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-18 20:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%2.3%2026-04-18 20:10
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%3.2%2026-04-18 20:10