La escuela de los momios

Miami Marlins v Milwaukee Brewers

Inicio: 2026-04-18 20:11 UTC

Final: Miami Marlins 2–5 Milwaukee Brewers

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 51.56%1.94momio equitativo
EV -1.51%
Ventaja -0.792%
Kelly -1.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%51.54%51.59%52.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.851.851.9155.87%54.08%54.05%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Milwaukee Brewers (Visitante)

Predicción 48.44%2.06momio equitativo
EV -0.221%
Ventaja -0.107%
Kelly -0.209%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.12%48.46%48.41%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.851.961.952.0654.05%51.07%51.28%48.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -1.51%E -0.792%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-18 03:44
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.51%E -0.792%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 01:44
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.03%E -1.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-18 18:50
1xBet1.89I 52.91%NM 51.79%EV -2.54%E -1.35%K -2.86%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 48.21%EV -1.67%E -0.825%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-18 20:03
Pinnacle1.88I 53.19%NM 52.16%EV -3.06%E -1.63%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.84%EV -0.705%E -0.344%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-18 20:05
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV -0.705%E -0.344%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 20:05
ReBet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.68%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.32%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-18 20:09
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-18 20:10
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 20:10
theScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 02:35
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 01:09
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 01:10
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 01:10
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 19:30
Betsson1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 20:09
NordicBet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.58%E -1.91%K -4.11%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 20:09
GTbets1.86I 53.76%NM 52.55%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.45%EV -0.221%E -0.107%K -0.209%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-18 20:04
BetOnline.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -0.705%E -0.344%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 20:05
LowVig.ag1.86I 53.76%NM 52.43%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.57%EV -0.705%E -0.344%K -0.672%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-18 20:00
Bet Right1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-18 20:09
Betr (AU)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-18 20:08
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.09%E -2.20%K -4.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 19:30
MyBookie.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-18 20:10
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 01:10
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 01:10
Virgin Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:10
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-18 20:10
Unibet (NL)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Svenska Spel1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 20:10
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.03%E -3.11%K -6.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-18 20:10
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 05:10
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 05:10
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 05:10
Tipico (DE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.61%E -2.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.39%E -5.62%K -12.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-18 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.12%E -2.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-18 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.06%EV -5.12%E -2.78%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.94%EV -7.00%E -3.65%K -7.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:10
Bovada1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -2.64%E -1.31%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-18 20:08
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:05
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:05
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.13%E -1.56%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-18 20:00
Marathon Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:09
Fliff1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 20:10
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 20:09
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-18 20:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -6.52%E -3.38%K -7.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-18 20:10
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.64%E -3.08%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 20:05
FanDuel1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.06%E -2.58%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 20:10
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.34%EV -6.15%E -3.38%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.66%EV -7.00%E -3.65%K -7.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 20:10
BetRivers1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -6.67%E -3.68%K -8.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -7.49%E -3.92%K -8.23%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Dabble (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -2.16%E -1.07%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-18 20:09
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.55%E -2.85%K -5.84%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-18 20:10
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 51.22%EV -7.19%E -3.99%K -8.98%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.78%EV -8.46%E -4.47%K -9.50%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 20:10
DraftKings1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -7.70%E -4.30%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -4.10%E -2.07%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-18 20:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.23%EV -7.70%E -4.30%K -9.75%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.77%EV -8.94%E -4.76%K -10.16%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-18 20:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.91I 52.36%NM 52.37%2.10I 47.62%NM 47.63%-0.0%2026-04-18 20:05
ProphetX1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-18 20:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-04-18 20:10
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-04-18 20:10
Polymarket1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-04-18 20:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-04-18 20:10
Smarkets1.89I 52.91%NM 51.91%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.09%1.9%2026-04-18 20:10
Novig1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%2.3%2026-04-18 20:10
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 52.96%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.04%3.2%2026-04-18 20:10