Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.71
assuming max odds 2.40
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 57.52%; Los Angeles Angels (Visit): 42.48%. For Los Angeles Angels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.35. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.94%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.97%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.03%EV +1.94%E +0.809%K +1.39%G +0.027% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.62%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%EV +1.09%E +0.459%K +0.792%G +0.009% | 1.5% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.77%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.23%EV +1.09%E +0.459%K +0.792%G +0.009% | 1.9% | 2026-08-07 14:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%EV +1.09%E +0.459%K +0.792%G +0.009% | 3.7% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.42%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.58%EV +0.244%E +0.103%K +0.179%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.17%EV -2.78%E -1.65%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.83%EV -0.181%E -0.077%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-08-07 14:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -0.181%E -0.077%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-07 22:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -0.181%E -0.077%K -0.134%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.606%E -0.259%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.21%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.79%EV -0.606%E -0.259%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-07 22:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -0.606%E -0.259%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.10%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.90%EV -1.03%E -0.442%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-07 22:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.93%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.07%EV -1.88%E -0.814%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 14:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -1.63%E -0.956%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-07 20:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-07 22:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -10.84%E -6.99%K -19.71%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -2.30%E -1.00%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-07 22:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.02%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.98%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-07 23:08 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.16%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.84%EV -3.15%E -1.38%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-07 23:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 23:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -3.36%E -2.00%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-07 15:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 16:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 15:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 15:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 15:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 16:19 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 21:25 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-07 22:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.43%E -1.97%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-07 20:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-07 21:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -5.28%E -2.37%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -5.70%E -2.57%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 15:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.21%E -1.30%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-07 23:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -4.51%E -2.72%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 21:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -5.66%E -3.45%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 21:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -6.55%E -2.98%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.78%EV -7.96%E -4.98%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 42.22%EV -6.98%E -3.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-07 22:43 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.22%EV -6.24%E -3.83%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -7.40%E -3.40%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.26%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.74%EV -7.83%E -3.61%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -3.94%E -2.36%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:04 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.09%E -3.08%K -7.82%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-07 23:03 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -7.39%E -4.59%K -12.11%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -8.68%E -4.04%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 55.86%EV -6.81%E -4.20%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.14%EV -12.92%E -6.30%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 0.2% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-08-07 22:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52% | 1.2% | 2026-08-07 19:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 57.92% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.08% | 1.6% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-08-07 22:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 58.66% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 41.34% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 23:09 |
| Novig◎ | 1.68I 59.52%NM 58.31% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.69% | 2.1% | 2026-08-07 23:10 |