Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins v Los Angeles Angels

2026-08-07 23:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

59 corredores (18 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 60.00%1.67momio equitativo
EV -1.61%
Ventaja -0.981%
Kelly -2.51%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.97%59.97%60.05%60.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.541.601.601.6464.94%62.67%62.50%60.98%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Los Angeles Angels (Visitante)

Predicción 40.00%2.50momio equitativo
EV +0.012%
Ventaja +0.005%
Kelly +0.008%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.17%40.03%39.95%41.03%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.382.372.5044.44%42.10%42.19%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Miami Marlins (Local): 60.00%; Los Angeles Angels (Visitante): 40.00%. Para Los Angeles Angels (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.4997. 3 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.5000, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +0.012%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.012%E +0.005%K +0.008%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-06 20:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 60.68%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.32%EV +0.012%E +0.005%K +0.008%G +0.000%1.7%2026-08-07 00:15
GTbets🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.83%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.17%EV +0.012%E +0.005%K +0.008%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-06 22:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.388%E -0.156%K -0.260%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.73%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 39.27%EV -0.388%E -0.156%K -0.260%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-06 23:35
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.59%E -0.645%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-06 23:44
Pinnacle🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 60.44%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.56%EV -1.59%E -0.645%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-08-07 01:40
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 59.71%EV -1.61%E -0.981%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 40.29%EV -2.79%E -1.15%K -1.95%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-07 01:25
MyBookie.ag🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.10%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.90%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-07 00:14
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -5.21%E -3.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -3.59%E -1.49%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-06 20:00
theScore Bet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-06 21:15
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-07 02:05
LeoVegas🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 23:10
TAB🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-07 02:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 22:30
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-06 22:30
BetMGM🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 22:30
Betway🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.99%E -1.66%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-06 23:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 21:40
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 21:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -3.41%E -2.12%K -5.59%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 21:40
Bet Right🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-06 21:45
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.21%E -3.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-06 20:00
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 20:00
William Hill🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-06 22:50
betano_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 00:55
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.79%E -2.01%K -3.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-07 00:55
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.21%E -3.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.19%E -2.19%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 02:35
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.00%EV -5.21%E -3.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 40.00%EV -5.19%E -2.19%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-07 02:35
FanDuel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.59%E -2.37%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-06 19:50
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -5.59%E -2.37%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-07 01:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.75%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.25%EV -5.59%E -2.37%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-07 01:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -2.21%E -1.35%K -3.50%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-06 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 22:30
Neds🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -2.81%E -1.73%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-06 22:30
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 20:05
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 20:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 20:05
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 20:15
Casumo🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 21:40
Unibet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 21:40
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 21:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 21:40
Bally Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 21:40
betPARX🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-06 21:40
Fliff🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-07 02:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-06 20:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.21%E -3.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 20:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.21%E -3.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-06 20:00
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.81%E -3.70%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.99%E -2.55%K -4.44%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 23:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.21%E -3.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.19%E -3.10%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 21:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.49%EV -5.21%E -3.30%K -8.98%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.51%EV -7.19%E -3.10%K -5.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-06 21:40
SportsBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.23%EV -4.61%E -2.90%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 40.77%EV -7.59%E -3.29%K -5.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-06 19:50
Paddy Power🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.01%E -2.50%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.99%E -3.47%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-06 19:50
Grosvenor🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.69%EV -7.61%E -4.94%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.31%EV -8.79%E -3.85%K -6.87%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-06 21:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.61%E -4.94%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-06 23:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -7.61%E -4.94%K -14.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.99%E -4.44%K -7.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-07 00:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.95%2.50I 40.00%NM 40.05%-0.1%2026-08-07 02:35
Novig1.64I 60.98%NM 60.67%2.53I 39.53%NM 39.33%0.5%2026-08-07 01:41
ProphetX1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-07 02:41
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-06 22:30
Polymarket1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.0%2026-08-07 00:00
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%4.9%2026-08-07 02:35
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%8.0%2026-08-07 02:50