The School of Odds

Miami Marlins v Cleveland Guardians

2026-07-12 17:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 51.10%1.96fair odd
EV -0.864%
Edge -0.445%
Kelly -0.919%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%51.13%51.05%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.861.861.9456%54%54%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Cleveland Guardians (Visit)

Prediction 48.90%2.05fair odd
EV +0.242%
Edge +0.118%
Kelly +0.231%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.87%48.95%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.881.951.952.0553%51%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 52.30%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 47.70%EV +0.242%E +0.118%K +0.231%G +0.001%2.3%2026-07-12 01:14
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-12 00:09
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.02%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.20%E -1.10%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 23:59
1xBet1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -0.864%E -0.445%K -0.919%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-12 01:10
BetOnline.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.37%E -0.712%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 00:39
LowVig.ag1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.37%E -0.712%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 00:39
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.37%E -0.712%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 01:10
GTbets1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -1.37%E -0.712%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-12 01:29
FanDuel1.86I 53.76%NM 51.56%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.44%EV -3.18%E -1.61%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-11 23:50
MyBookie.ag1.88I 53.19%NM 51.17%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.83%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.0%2026-07-12 01:09
Bovada1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -3.67%E -1.86%K -3.78%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:49
Unibet (NL)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 01:49
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 01:49
Svenska Spel1.87I 53.48%NM 51.17%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.83%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-12 01:49
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.16%E -2.12%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-11 23:49
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-12 00:44
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-11 23:49
Betway1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:45
Unibet (UK)1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:05
PlayUp1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:44
Coolbet1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:44
DraftKings1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:05
Caesars1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 00:44
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:35
BetAnything1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 01:44
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:49
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:49
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:05
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:05
Casumo1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:49
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:49
ATG (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:49
betPARX1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:45
Bally Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:49
Coral1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:34
Ladbrokes (UK)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:34
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 02:09
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.65%E -2.38%K -4.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 01:04
Bet Right1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 00:44
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 00:44
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.44%E -2.37%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 01:34
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -4.95%E -2.66%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 02:04
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 01:49
TABtouch1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.14%E -2.65%K -5.46%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 01:49
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 51.19%EV -5.97%E -3.25%K -7.11%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.81%EV -5.63%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 01:03
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67%EV -5.63%E -2.91%K -6.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-12 01:09
Marathon Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.93%E -2.09%K -4.47%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.11%E -3.18%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 01:10
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -6.48%E -3.54%K -7.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%EV -6.11%E -3.18%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-12 01:49
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.40%E -1.25%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-12 01:34
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 00:44
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 00:44
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -5.46%E -2.95%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -6.60%E -3.46%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 00:44
Paddy Power1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.53%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 23:50
Unibet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.21%EV -7.51%E -4.15%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.79%EV -7.09%E -3.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 01:05
Winamax (FR)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%EV -8.02%E -4.45%K -10.02%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%EV -8.07%E -4.29%K -9.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-12 02:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%0.6%2026-07-12 02:28
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-12 01:09
Kalshi1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-12 00:25
ProphetX1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02%2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98%1.6%2026-07-12 01:10
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%7.6%2026-07-12 02:05
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 51.09%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.91%8.7%2026-07-12 02:30