La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Miami Marlins v Cleveland Guardians
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Miami Marlins (Casa)
Previsione 49.29%2.03quota equa
EV -0.921%
Vantaggio -0.458%
Kelly -0.912%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.01
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.59%49.44%49.20%50.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.851.931.932.0154.05%51.76%51.81%49.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Cleveland Guardians (Trasferta)
Previsione 50.71%1.97quota equa
EV +0.400%
Vantaggio +0.202%
Kelly +0.408%
Crescita +0.002%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.98
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.33%50.56%50.80%51.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.821.881.881.9854.95%53.13%53.19%50.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (65 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.51%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.49%EV +0.400%E +0.202%K +0.408%G +0.002% | 2.1% | 2026-07-12 17:00 |
| BetUS | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%EV -2.40%E -1.21%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%EV -2.14%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| Everygame | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.49%EV -2.89%E -1.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.51%EV -2.14%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-07-12 17:24 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.13%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.87%EV -2.14%E -1.11%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.85%EV -0.921%E -0.458%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.15%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -2.64%E -1.38%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 16:59 |
| BetAnything | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%EV -1.41%E -0.707%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| ReBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.48%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.52%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-12 17:30 |
| Fliff | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 17:09 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| William Hill | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 01:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 12:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 17:00 |
| Betway | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -3.15%E -1.65%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.921%E -0.458%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.921%E -0.458%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| GTbets | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.59%EV -0.921%E -0.458%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.41%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Dabble (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 16:59 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 11:59 |
| Bet Victor | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| betano_uk | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -8.81%E -4.76%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -3.66%E -1.92%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-12 17:32 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%EV -2.89%E -1.47%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| FanDuel | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.09%EV -3.39%E -1.73%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.91%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Coolbet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.16%E -2.20%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| DraftKings | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Bet Right | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| PlayUp | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| NordicBet | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Betsson | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| LeoVegas | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.67%E -2.48%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Caesars | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:32 |
| Bovada | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BetMGM | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Fanatics | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-12 17:04 |
| Casumo | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Unibet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| betPARX | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Bally Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Neds | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| SportsBet | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Paddy Power | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.82%E -4.18%K -8.99%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.18%E -2.77%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 15:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -4.37%E -2.25%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.21%EV -5.36%E -2.79%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.79%EV -5.68%E -3.06%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Coral | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.88%E -1.99%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| BetRivers | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| TABtouch | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.86%E -2.52%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -6.19%E -3.35%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -6.34%E -3.34%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -6.70%E -3.64%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 17:35 |
| Grosvenor | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.85%E -3.06%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.21%E -3.94%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-12 16:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -7.33%E -3.90%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -7.71%E -4.24%K -9.41%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (10)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.49% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.51% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 17:39 |
| ProphetX | 2.01I 49.75%NM 49.24% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76% | 1.0% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| Novig | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |
| Polymarket | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.97I 50.76%NM 49.62% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.38% | 2.3% | 2026-07-12 17:10 |
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.59% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.41% | 2.9% | 2026-07-12 17:40 |
| BetOpenly | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.52% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.48% | 3.1% | 2026-07-12 17:34 |