Language:English
Miami Marlins v Cincinnati Reds
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 53.80%1.86fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.82
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.36%53.78%53.85%55.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.751.8259.88%56.89%57.14%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Cincinnati Reds (Visit)
Prediction 46.20%2.16fair odd
EV -0.213%
Edge -0.099%
Kelly -0.184%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.16
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.85%46.22%46.15%47.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.062.062.1651.55%48.50%48.54%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 53.80%; Cincinnati Reds (Visit): 46.20%. For Cincinnati Reds (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.165. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.160, with an expected value of -0.213%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.14%E -0.531%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-08 22:15 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.751%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 22:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.751%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 22:15 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.751%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.675%E -0.314%K -0.587%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-04-08 22:02 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-08 21:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.76%E -2.82%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.213%E -0.099%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-04-08 22:39 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 21:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 22:14 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-08 21:35 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 22:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 11:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 22:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-07 23:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.76%E -2.82%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.68%E -3.31%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-08 22:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-08 20:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.14%E -0.531%K -0.998%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-08 22:37 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 22:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-08 22:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.76%E -2.82%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-08 06:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.68%E -3.31%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.68%E -3.31%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.68%E -3.31%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.68%E -3.31%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-08 22:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.26%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.19%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05% | -0.0% | 2026-04-08 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14% | 0.7% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 21:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-04-08 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61% | 1.4% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45% | 1.9% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41% | 2.9% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 54.44% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56% | 12.0% | 2026-04-08 22:40 |