L’École des cotes

Miami Marlins v Cincinnati Reds

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-08 22:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prévision 53.80%1.86cote équitable
EV -2.08%
Avantage -1.14%
Kelly -2.54%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.36%53.78%53.85%55.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.751.8259.88%56.89%57.14%54.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cincinnati Reds (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.20%2.16cote équitable
EV -0.213%
Avantage -0.099%
Kelly -0.184%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.85%46.22%46.15%47.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.942.062.062.1651.55%48.50%48.54%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -2.08%E -1.14%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 22:40
GTbets1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.14%E -0.531%K -0.998%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-08 22:15
BetOnline.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.751%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 22:15
LowVig.ag1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.751%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 22:15
BetUS1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.62%E -1.45%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.60%E -0.751%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 22:30
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -0.675%E -0.314%K -0.587%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-08 22:25
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-08 22:02
Coolbet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 22:40
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 21:55
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 21:50
BetMGM1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-08 21:54
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -5.76%E -2.82%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-08 22:30
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.16%E -1.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 22:40
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.68%EV -3.69%E -2.06%K -4.68%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.32%EV -0.213%E -0.099%K -0.184%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-08 22:39
MyBookie.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-08 22:35
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.23%E -2.38%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-08 21:50
ReBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 21:55
Caesars1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 22:14
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-08 21:35
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 22:40
Tipico (DE)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.77%E -2.69%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 22:35
Bet Right1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-08 21:50
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 11:35
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 22:24
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 54.05%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.95%EV -4.37%E -2.11%K -4.09%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-07 23:35
Betr (AU)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-08 21:50
FanDuel1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -5.76%E -2.82%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 22:40
DraftKings1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.31%E -3.02%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.68%E -3.31%K -6.55%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 22:40
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-08 22:25
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 22:25
Marathon Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -3.91%E -1.88%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-08 22:25
Unibet (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Unibet (NL)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Unibet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Casumo1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:40
betPARX1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:40
ATG (SE)1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Svenska Spel1.75I 57.14%NM 54.07%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.93%EV -4.83%E -2.35%K -4.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.85%E -3.34%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-08 20:15
Bovada1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -1.14%E -0.531%K -0.998%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-08 22:37
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 22:30
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-08 22:30
PointsBet (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 22:40
Unibet (FR)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 22:30
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-08 22:39
TABtouch1.74I 57.47%NM 53.97%EV -6.38%E -3.67%K -8.63%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.03%EV -5.76%E -2.82%K -5.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-08 22:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-08 06:29
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.68%E -3.31%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 22:40
LiveScore Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.68%E -3.31%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 22:40
Virgin Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.68%E -3.31%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 22:40
Bally Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -6.92%E -4.00%K -9.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -6.68%E -3.31%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-08 22:40
Dabble (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -2.99%E -1.42%K -2.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-08 22:39
BetRivers1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.46%E -4.34%K -10.36%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-08 22:40
LeoVegas1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.00%E -4.68%K -11.26%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.60%E -3.80%K -7.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-08 22:40
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.30%EV -8.54%E -5.02%K -12.19%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.70%EV -10.38%E -5.35%K -11.04%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-08 22:40
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 22:40
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -10.15%E -6.08%K -15.15%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -5.30%E -2.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.82I 54.95%NM 54.95%2.22I 45.05%NM 45.05%-0.0%2026-04-08 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%0.7%2026-04-08 22:40
Kalshi1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-08 21:50
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-04-08 16:55
ProphetX1.78I 56.18%NM 55.39%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.61%1.4%2026-04-08 22:40
Smarkets1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.9%2026-04-08 22:40
Novig1.78I 56.18%NM 54.59%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.41%2.9%2026-04-08 22:40
Matchbook1.64I 60.98%NM 54.44%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.56%12.0%2026-04-08 22:40