Language:English
Miami Marlins v Chicago White Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 57.16%1.75fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.648%
Kelly -1.54%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.67%57.10%57.12%58.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.94%59.88%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Chicago White Sox (Visit)
Prediction 42.84%2.33fair odd
EV -1.46%
Edge -0.634%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.33%42.90%42.88%45.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.242.252.3048.78%44.68%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 57.16%; Chicago White Sox (Visit): 42.84%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.75. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.73, with an expected value of -1.12%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.12%E -0.648%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.12%E -0.648%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-01 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.46%E -0.634%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-04-01 16:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-01 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-01 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-01 16:44 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-01 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.03%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-01 16:57 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-01 17:01 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 15:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-01 16:34 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 16:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -5.31%E -2.40%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-01 16:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.03%E -1.80%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.17%E -2.82%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 16:28 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.60%E -3.03%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.60%E -3.03%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-01 16:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 02:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 02:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 02:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-04-01 16:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 16:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.46%E -0.634%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 16:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.46%E -0.634%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-01 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-01 16:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 11:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 16:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 11:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 11:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 02:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-01 02:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 15:14 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 15:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.82%K -9.79%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-01 11:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.634%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 16:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.634%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-01 00:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 16:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 16:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-01 16:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-01 16:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (9)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89% | 0.1% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 16:50 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21% | 0.6% | 2026-04-01 17:05 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47% | 1.1% | 2026-04-01 16:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-01 17:00 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-04-01 16:29 |