La escuela de los momios

Miami Marlins v Chicago White Sox

Inicio: 2026-04-01 17:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Miami Marlins (Local)

Predicción 57.16%1.75momio equitativo
EV -1.12%
Ventaja -0.648%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.67%57.10%57.12%58.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.671.671.7361.73%59.94%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Chicago White Sox (Visitante)

Predicción 42.84%2.33momio equitativo
EV -1.46%
Ventaja -0.634%
Kelly -1.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.33%42.90%42.88%45.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.242.252.3048.78%44.68%44.44%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.12%E -0.648%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-01 16:29
Pinnacle1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%EV -1.12%E -0.648%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-01 16:35
GTbets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.36%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.64%EV -1.46%E -0.634%K -1.12%G +0.000%2.0%2026-04-01 16:45
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:45
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-01 16:45
BetUS1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-01 16:44
BetAnything1.71I 58.48%NM 56.93%EV -2.26%E -1.32%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.07%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-01 17:00
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:29
PlayUp1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.88%E -3.67%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-01 16:50
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.03%E -4.77%K -9.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-01 16:57
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -2.84%E -1.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -12.17%E -5.94%K -11.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-01 17:01
PointsBet (AU)1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 15:54
theScore Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-01 16:34
Caesars1.69I 59.17%NM 56.78%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.22%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 16:24
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 56.67%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.33%EV -5.31%E -2.40%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-01 16:33
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.41%E -2.02%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-01 16:30
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -4.03%E -1.80%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-01 16:30
Dabble (AU)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-01 16:30
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.59%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -6.17%E -2.82%K -5.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:28
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.60%E -3.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 16:30
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.98%E -2.37%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.60%E -3.03%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 16:30
MyBookie.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 57.61%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 42.39%EV -2.74%E -1.21%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-01 16:55
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 15:15
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:15
BetMGM1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:14
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 02:15
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-01 16:30
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 16:24
SportsBet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.55%E -2.72%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.89%E -2.20%K -4.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 16:29
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:15
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:15
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:15
Casumo1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:15
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:15
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.12%E -3.09%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-01 15:15
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.46%E -0.634%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 16:05
ReBet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.46%E -0.634%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-01 16:05
Bet Right1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -3.17%E -1.40%K -2.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-01 16:24
888sport1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 11:15
Coolbet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:24
Mr Green (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 11:14
888sport (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 11:14
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 16:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 02:50
Neds1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-01 02:50
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:15
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:15
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:14
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.69%E -3.45%K -8.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.46%E -2.00%K -3.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 15:15
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -6.27%E -3.82%K -9.79%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-01 11:14
Betway1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.634%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 16:04
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.46%E -0.634%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Winamax (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:05
Winamax (DE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:04
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.60%E -1.60%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-01 16:04
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.41%E -4.57%K -11.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.74%E -2.61%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 16:24
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Novig1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%0.1%2026-04-01 17:05
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-01 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-01 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-01 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-04-01 16:50
ProphetX1.75I 57.14%NM 56.79%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.21%0.6%2026-04-01 17:05
Polymarket1.72I 58.14%NM 57.53%2.33I 42.92%NM 42.47%1.1%2026-04-01 16:15
Smarkets1.73I 57.80%NM 57.07%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.93%1.3%2026-04-01 17:00
BetOpenly1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-04-01 16:29