Language:English
Miami Marlins v Boston Red Sox
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Miami Marlins (Local)
Prediction 46.05%2.17fair odd
EV -1.00%
Edge -0.466%
Kelly -0.871%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.01%46.04%46.04%48.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.55%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston Red Sox (Visit)
Prediction 53.95%1.85fair odd
EV -0.184%
Edge -0.100%
Kelly -0.217%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.00%53.96%53.96%55.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.691.781.801.8559.17%56.11%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Miami Marlins (Local): 46.05%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 53.95%. For Boston Red Sox (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.853. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.850, with an expected value of -0.184%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.00%E -0.466%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-24 22:38 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.00%E -0.466%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-24 13:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.00%E -0.466%K -0.871%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-24 22:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.46%E -0.683%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.46%E -0.683%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-08-24 22:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.92%E -0.903%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.92%E -0.903%K -1.70%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.26%E -0.690%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.8% | 2026-08-24 22:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.80%E -0.991%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-24 18:34 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.80%E -0.991%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-08-24 21:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.80%E -0.991%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-08-24 20:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-24 13:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-24 22:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-24 14:19 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.76%E -1.80%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.184%E -0.100%K -0.217%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-08-24 21:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.76%E -1.80%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-24 18:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 19:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.26%E -0.690%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.26%E -0.690%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-24 22:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-24 21:21 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-24 20:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-24 20:34 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 15:13 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 19:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-24 19:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-24 19:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-24 19:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-24 20:08 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 22:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-24 22:33 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 20:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 20:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-24 21:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-24 21:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-24 21:35 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-24 21:33 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.26%E -0.690%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-24 20:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-24 22:38 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-24 20:28 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75% | 0.6% | 2026-08-24 22:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13% | 0.6% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27% | 0.9% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-24 17:34 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 1.0% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Polymarket◎ | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 1.0% | 2026-08-24 21:34 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77% | 1.1% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.1% | 2026-08-24 22:04 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85% | 3.2% | 2026-08-24 22:39 |