The School of Odds
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Miami Marlins v Boston Red Sox

2026-08-24 22:41 UTC — MLB

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Miami Marlins (Local)

Prediction 44.76%2.23fair odd
EV -0.193%
Edge -0.087%
Kelly -0.157%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.72%44.77%44.76%46.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.122.2350.00%47.03%47.17%44.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Boston Red Sox (Visit)

Prediction 55.24%1.81fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.936%
Kelly -2.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.66%55.23%55.24%56.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.731.731.7860.24%57.81%57.80%56.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Miami Marlins (Local): 44.76%; Boston Red Sox (Visit): 55.24%. For Miami Marlins (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.234. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.230, with an expected value of -0.193%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 43.97%EV -0.193%E -0.087%K -0.157%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.03%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 18:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.09%E -0.492%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 18:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.09%E -0.492%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.4%2026-08-23 18:29
Caesars🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 44.58%EV -1.54%E -0.698%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.42%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-23 18:49
1xBet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%EV -2.43%E -1.12%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%EV -1.67%E -0.936%K -2.14%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 17:35
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.62%EV -3.33%E -1.54%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.38%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 18:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 17:34
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.53%E -3.24%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 18:14
888sport🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.53%E -3.24%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 17:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.53%E -3.24%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 17:24
888sport (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.53%E -3.24%K -7.79%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 17:24
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.64%E -3.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 17:19
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.77%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.74%E -4.64%K -11.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 17:19
DraftKings🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 44.96%EV -4.67%E -2.19%K -4.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.04%EV -3.88%E -2.23%K -5.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 18:50
Bet Right🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 18:14
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 18:50
PlayUp🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.98%E -2.90%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:50
Betsson🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.98%E -2.90%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:50
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.12%E -2.41%K -4.57%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.98%E -2.90%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:48
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 18:14
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 18:14
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.32%E -1.90%K -4.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 18:14
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 17:19
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 17:23
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.43%E -2.56%K -6.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 18:14
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.98%E -2.90%K -6.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 17:19
Betclic (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.01%E -2.86%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -5.53%E -3.24%K -7.79%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 18:48
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.25%E -4.02%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:14
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.25%E -4.02%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.22%E -1.25%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 18:14
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.25%E -4.02%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.64%E -3.93%K -9.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 18:50
Unibet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%EV -10.49%E -5.24%K -10.49%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%EV -8.30%E -5.00%K -12.57%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-23 18:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-23 18:35
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-08-23 17:19
Novig◎2.17I 46.08%NM 43.78%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.22%5.3%2026-08-23 18:59
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 45.36%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.64%10.2%2026-08-23 18:50