默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins v Boston Red Sox

开赛时间: 2026-08-24 22:41 UTC

最终结果: Miami Marlins 2–4 Boston Red Sox

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

65 家博彩公司 (21 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Miami Marlins (主队)

预测 46.05%2.17公平赔率
EV -1.00%
优势 -0.466%
Kelly -0.871%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
44.01%46.04%46.04%48.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.062.052.1551.28%48.55%48.78%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Boston Red Sox (客队)

预测 53.95%1.85公平赔率
EV -0.184%
优势 -0.100%
Kelly -0.217%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
52.00%53.96%53.96%55.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.691.781.801.8559.17%56.11%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Miami Marlins (主队):46.05%;Boston Red Sox (客队):53.95%。 对于“Boston Red Sox (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.853。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.850,期望值为-0.184%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (65 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Caesars🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.00%E -0.466%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 22:38
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.00%E -0.466%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 13:59
Fliff🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -1.00%E -0.466%K -0.871%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -8.82%E -5.22%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 22:09
GTbets🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.46%E -0.683%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-24 22:39
DraftKings🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%EV -1.46%E -0.683%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-24 22:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.92%E -0.903%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-24 22:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.13I 46.95%NM 45.94%EV -1.92%E -0.903%K -1.70%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.06%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.2%2026-08-24 22:39
Pinnacle🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.33%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.67%EV -1.26%E -0.690%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.8%2026-08-24 22:34
FanDuel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.80%E -0.991%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 18:34
Everygame🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%EV -1.80%E -0.991%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-24 21:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 45.22%EV -2.38%E -1.12%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.78%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 22:39
BetUS🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.31%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.69%EV -1.80%E -0.991%K -2.20%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-24 20:34
theScore Bet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 46.04%EV -2.84%E -1.35%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.96%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-24 13:59
ReBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-24 22:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-24 14:19
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.30%E -1.57%K -3.00%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-24 22:39
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.95%EV -3.76%E -1.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.05%EV -0.184%E -0.100%K -0.217%G +0.000%1.9%2026-08-24 21:39
BetAnything🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.41%EV -3.76%E -1.80%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.59%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-24 18:49
MyBookie.ag🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 46.25%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.75%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Bovada🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -4.23%E -2.03%K -3.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 19:04
BetRivers🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.26%E -0.690%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-24 20:28
Svenska Spel🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV -4.69%E -2.26%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -1.26%E -0.690%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-24 20:28
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 20:28
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -2.34%E -1.29%K -2.89%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-24 20:28
Fanatics🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 22:14
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:28
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 20:28
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-24 21:21
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 20:54
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-24 20:34
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 15:13
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-24 22:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 22:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.04%E -2.86%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 19:09
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 19:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 19:09
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 19:09
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -5.58%E -3.19%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:39
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.12%E -3.52%K -8.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-24 22:39
BoyleSports🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-24 20:08
Winamax (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -7.20%E -4.19%K -10.00%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-24 22:39
betano_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 22:34
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -5.61%E -2.73%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.28%E -4.87%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-24 22:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 20:28
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 20:28
ATG (SE)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 20:28
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 20:29
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 20:29
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -6.07%E -2.97%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 20:28
Betsson🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 21:24
NordicBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -6.53%E -3.22%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 21:24
SportsBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 20:28
Neds🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-24 20:28
TABtouch🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 20:28
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -3.42%E -1.91%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-24 21:35
Dabble (AU)🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -6.99%E -3.46%K -6.85%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.96%E -2.23%K -5.08%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-24 21:33
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -1.26%E -0.690%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-24 22:39
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-24 20:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 20:28
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -4.50%E -2.54%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-24 20:28
Betclic (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -7.91%E -3.95%K -7.91%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 22:38
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -2.88%E -1.60%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-24 22:39
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -10.21%E -5.24%K -10.75%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -6.66%E -3.85%K -9.12%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 20:28
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (10)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎2.15I 46.51%NM 46.25%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.75%0.6%2026-08-24 22:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.13%0.6%2026-08-24 22:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-08-24 22:39
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.73%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.27%0.9%2026-08-24 22:39
Kalshi◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-24 17:34
ProphetX◎2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%1.0%2026-08-24 22:39
Polymarket◎2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%1.0%2026-08-24 21:34
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.23%1.84I 54.35%NM 53.77%1.1%2026-08-24 22:39
Smarkets◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19%1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81%2.1%2026-08-24 22:04
BetOpenly◎2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-08-24 22:39