Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Washington Nationals

Kickoff: 2026-09-06 01:11 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 63.24%1.58fair odd
EV -0.086%
Edge -0.054%
Kelly -0.148%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.76%63.36%63.10%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.501.5871.43%66.78%66.67%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 36.76%2.72fair odd
EV +6.61%
Edge +2.28%
Kelly +3.48%
Growth +0.230%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%36.64%36.90%39.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.592.9041.67%38.67%38.61%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 63.24%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 36.76%. For Washington Nationals (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.72. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.47%E -8.19%K -28.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +6.61%E +2.28%K +3.48%G +0.230%5.9%2026-09-06 01:10
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.94%E -6.21%K -20.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.94%E +1.05%K +1.63%G +0.048%5.2%2026-09-06 00:40
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.57%E -6.69%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.94%E +1.05%K +1.63%G +0.048%5.6%2026-09-06 00:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.47%E -8.19%K -28.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.94%E +1.05%K +1.63%G +0.048%7.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV -2.21%E -0.831%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:10
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -2.95%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -2.95%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -7.67%E -5.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -7.67%E -5.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 01:10
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.68%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-06 01:09
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.718%E -0.457%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -4.05%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 23:15
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -4.05%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-05 23:30
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:04
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.94%E -6.21%K -20.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.57%E -6.69%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 01:10
Caesars🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -0.086%E -0.054%K -0.148%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -5.15%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 01:04
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.35%E -0.866%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -5.52%E -2.15%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 01:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.62%E -1.70%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 01:05
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:00
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 00:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 01:10
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 01:09
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 01:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 01:10
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.94%E -6.21%K -20.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 01:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.57%E -6.69%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 00:35
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:14
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 00:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 01:05
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 01:09
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.62%E -1.70%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.83%E -3.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:25
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.62%E -1.70%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.83%E -3.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -10.30%E -4.22%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 01:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 01:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-09-06 01:09
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-09-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-06 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-06 01:05
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-09-06 01:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-06 01:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-09-06 01:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%3.4%2026-09-06 01:10
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%5.4%2026-09-06 01:10