Модель по умолчаниюМежквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Washington Nationals

Начало: 2026-09-06 01:11 UTC

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

62 букмекерские конторы (20 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Хозяева)

Прогноз 63.24%1.58справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.086%
Преимущество -0.054%
Kelly -0.148%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 1.58

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
60.76%63.36%63.10%67.44%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
1.401.501.501.5871.43%66.78%66.67%63.29%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

Washington Nationals (Гости)

Прогноз 36.76%2.72справедливый коэффициент
EV +6.61%
Преимущество +2.28%
Kelly +3.48%
Рост +0.230%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.90

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
32.56%36.64%36.90%39.24%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.402.592.592.9041.67%38.67%38.61%34.48%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.

По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Los Angeles Dodgers (Хозяева): 63.24%; Washington Nationals (Гости): 36.76%. Для исхода «Washington Nationals (Гости)» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 2.72. 4 букмекера предлагали итоговые коэффициенты выше этого уровня; лучший составлял 2.90, что соответствовало положительному математическому ожиданию +6.61%.

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (62 букмекерские конторы)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГости ▼МаржаОбновлено
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -11.47%E -8.19%K -28.67%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV +6.61%E +2.28%K +3.48%G +0.230%5.9%2026-09-06 01:10
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -8.94%E -6.21%K -20.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV +2.94%E +1.05%K +1.63%G +0.048%5.2%2026-09-06 00:40
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -9.57%E -6.69%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV +2.94%E +1.05%K +1.63%G +0.048%5.6%2026-09-06 00:45
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -11.47%E -8.19%K -28.67%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +2.94%E +1.05%K +1.63%G +0.048%7.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -0.739%E -0.274%K -0.435%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%EV -2.21%E -0.831%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 01:10
Betway🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 01:10
Winamax (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:10
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 01:10
Fanatics🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 01:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -2.58%E -0.973%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 01:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -2.95%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 01:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.01%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.99%EV -2.95%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-06 01:10
Bally Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -7.67%E -5.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 01:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.30%EV -7.67%E -5.26%K -16.68%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.70%EV -3.31%E -1.26%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 01:10
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.83%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.17%EV -3.68%E -1.40%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-06 01:09
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -0.718%E -0.457%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -4.05%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-05 23:15
BetAnything🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -4.05%E -1.55%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-06 01:05
FanDuel🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-05 23:30
Bovada🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.26%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.74%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-06 01:04
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 00:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -6.41%E -4.33%K -13.35%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.04%E -4.79%K -14.98%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 01:10
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -8.94%E -6.21%K -20.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-06 01:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.52%EV -9.57%E -6.69%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.48%EV -4.42%E -1.70%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-06 01:10
Caesars🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -0.086%E -0.054%K -0.148%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -5.15%E -2.00%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-06 01:04
BetUS🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -1.35%E -0.866%K -2.41%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -5.52%E -2.15%K -3.52%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 01:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -2.62%E -1.70%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-06 01:05
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:00
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -3.88%E -2.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 00:10
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-05 23:30
MyBookie.ag🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-06 01:10
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 01:09
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 01:09
Tipico (DE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -8.31%E -5.73%K -18.46%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-06 01:10
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 63.91%EV -8.94%E -6.21%K -20.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-06 01:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.07%EV -9.57%E -6.69%K -22.26%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.93%EV -6.25%E -2.45%K -4.03%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-06 01:10
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 00:35
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:14
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 00:55
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -3.25%E -2.12%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-06 00:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -4.51%E -2.99%K -8.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 01:05
theScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-06 01:09
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.66%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.34%EV -8.09%E -3.24%K -5.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-06 01:10
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.62%E -1.70%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.83%E -3.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:25
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -2.62%E -1.70%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -8.83%E -3.56%K -5.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -9.93%E -4.05%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 62.09%EV -5.78%E -3.88%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 37.91%EV -10.30%E -4.22%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.1%2026-09-06 01:04
Dabble (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -1.98%E -1.28%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.41%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-06 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 01:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -5.14%E -3.43%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -11.77%E -4.90%K -8.41%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-06 01:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (10)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиМаржа ▲Обновлено
BetOpenly1.60I 62.50%NM 62.62%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.38%-0.2%2026-09-06 01:09
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-09-06 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-06 01:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77%0.7%2026-09-06 01:05
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-09-06 01:10
Kalshi1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-09-06 01:10
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-05 23:05
Matchbook1.56I 64.10%NM 63.21%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.79%1.4%2026-09-06 01:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%3.4%2026-09-06 01:10
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 63.24%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.76%5.4%2026-09-06 01:10