Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Washington Nationals

Kickoff: 2026-09-07 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 7–5 Washington Nationals

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

65 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 63.90%1.56fair odd
EV +0.959%
Edge +0.607%
Kelly +1.65%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 1.58

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
60.30%63.90%63.88%65.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.481.481.5870.42%67.43%67.57%63.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Washington Nationals (Visit)

Prediction 36.10%2.77fair odd
EV -0.719%
Edge -0.262%
Kelly -0.411%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.37%36.10%36.12%39.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.632.632.7541.67%38.01%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 63.90%; Washington Nationals (Visit): 36.10%. For Los Angeles Dodgers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.56. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.959%.

Sportsbook Odds (65 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV +0.959%E +0.607%K +1.65%G +0.016%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -13.36%E -5.56%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 01:50
Caesars🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%EV -0.958%E -0.618%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-07 02:04
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -0.958%E -0.618%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -5.77%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 01:29
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -3.61%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -3.61%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 02:10
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-07 02:09
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -2.16%E -0.798%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 02:00
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -3.61%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 00:10
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 00:10
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 02:09
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.88%E -1.89%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 14:27
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -2.88%E -1.89%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -6.50%E -2.51%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.88%E -1.89%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.51%E -2.33%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.97%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 01:49
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.51%E -2.33%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.22%E -2.81%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -3.51%E -2.33%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -7.58%E -2.96%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 00:14
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 02:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 01:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 01:54
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 02:10
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.79%E -3.22%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 02:05
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.79%E -3.22%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 01:40
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.61%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.28%EV -10.11%E -4.06%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 01:55
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 01:50
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 02:10
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 14:44
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.75%EV -8.66%E -3.42%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 02:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.71%E -4.60%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 02:10
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 02:10
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 02:10
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 02:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 02:09
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 02:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 23:45
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.63%E -6.03%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -9.26%E -6.52%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 02:10
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.26%E -6.52%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -9.26%E -6.52%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 02:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-09-07 02:10
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-09-07 02:09
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-09-07 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-07 02:10
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-09-07 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-09-07 02:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-07 02:10
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-07 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-07 02:05
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-09-07 02:10