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Los Angeles Dodgers v Washington Nationals

2026-09-07 02:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 65.67%1.52momio equitativo
EV -0.840%
Ventaja -0.556%
Kelly -1.65%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.51

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.14%65.46%66.04%67.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.451.441.5171.43%69.17%69.44%66.23%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 34.33%2.91momio equitativo
EV -0.439%
Ventaja -0.152%
Kelly -0.231%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.71%34.54%33.96%36.86%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.452.782.802.9040.82%36.03%35.71%34.48%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 65.67%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 34.33%. Para Washington Nationals (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.91. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.90, con un valor esperado de -0.439%; no producen valor esperado positivo.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 65.05%EV -0.840%E -0.556%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 34.95%EV -3.53%E -1.26%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-06 02:25
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -1.50%E -0.998%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -5.59%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.0%2026-09-06 02:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.50%E -0.998%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -9.02%E -3.40%K -5.47%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-05 23:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV -2.15%E -1.45%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -10.74%E -4.13%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-05 23:14
Caesars🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%EV -0.439%E -0.152%K -0.231%G +0.000%2.1%2026-09-05 23:03
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.31%E -2.71%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:10
Neds🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -7.31%E -2.71%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-06 01:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.74%E -4.13%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-05 23:18
ReBet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -2.81%E -1.90%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -10.74%E -4.13%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-06 02:10
theScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -3.47%E -2.36%K -7.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-05 23:10
Marathon Bet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.07%EV -4.12%E -2.82%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.93%EV -6.62%E -2.43%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 02:15
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.78%E -3.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.78%E -3.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:05
Fliff🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.78%E -3.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.59%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -4.78%E -3.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.74%E -4.13%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-05 23:13
Unibet (FR)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -4.78%E -3.30%K -10.62%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -14.17%E -5.67%K -9.45%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-06 02:14
FanDuel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.67%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.33%EV -1.13%E -0.391%K -0.599%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-05 23:05
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.47%E -0.512%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 01:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.59%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.41%EV -1.47%E -0.512%K -0.786%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 01:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.16%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
Bet Right🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.16%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:15
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.16%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-05 23:05
BetRivers🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.16%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 00:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.16%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 00:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.16%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 00:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.16%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 00:34
BetMGM🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -2.16%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-06 01:10
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%EV -2.50%E -0.880%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-05 23:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:15
betfred_uk🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:15
Coolbet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-05 23:44
Casumo🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 00:35
Unibet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 00:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 00:35
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 00:34
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 00:35
Bally Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.44%E -3.78%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-06 00:35
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.87%E -1.38%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-06 00:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.59%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 00:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -5.59%E -2.03%K -3.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-06 00:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 63.14%EV -6.09%E -4.26%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.86%EV -15.89%E -6.49%K -10.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-05 23:15
SportsBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.67%EV -7.41%E -5.25%K -18.07%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.33%EV -3.19%E -1.13%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-05 23:05
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.06%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -1.13%E -0.391%K -0.599%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-05 23:05
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.06%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.16%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.06%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.16%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -8.06%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -2.16%E -0.756%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-05 23:15
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.06%E -5.76%K -20.16%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -7.31%E -2.71%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-06 00:35
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.92%2.94I 34.01%NM 34.08%-0.2%2026-09-06 02:25
Polymarket◎1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-09-06 01:25
ProphetX◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-09-06 02:25
Smarkets◎1.44I 69.44%NM 63.08%2.46I 40.65%NM 36.92%10.1%2026-09-05 23:15