Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Washington Nationals

Inicio: 2026-09-07 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 7–5 Washington Nationals

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

65 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 63.90%1.56momio equitativo
EV +0.959%
Ventaja +0.607%
Kelly +1.65%
Crecimiento +0.016%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.30%63.90%63.88%65.63%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.421.481.481.5870.42%67.43%67.57%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Nationals (Visitante)

Predicción 36.10%2.77momio equitativo
EV -0.719%
Ventaja -0.262%
Kelly -0.411%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.37%36.10%36.12%39.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.632.632.7541.67%38.01%38.02%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 63.90%; Washington Nationals (Visitante): 36.10%. Para Los Angeles Dodgers (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.56. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.58, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.959%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (65 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Right🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV +0.959%E +0.607%K +1.65%G +0.016%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -13.36%E -5.56%K -9.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 01:50
Caesars🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%EV -0.958%E -0.618%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%EV -3.25%E -1.21%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.8%2026-09-07 02:04
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -0.958%E -0.618%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -5.77%E -2.21%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 01:29
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%2.0%2026-09-06 16:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -3.61%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 02:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV -3.61%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.4%2026-09-07 02:10
GTbets🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -1.60%E -1.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%2.7%2026-09-07 02:09
Pinnacle🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.92%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 36.08%EV -2.16%E -0.798%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.3%2026-09-07 02:00
BetAnything🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 63.57%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.43%EV -3.61%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.8%2026-09-07 02:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 00:10
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-07 00:10
betfred_uk🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -2.24%E -1.46%K -4.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-07 02:09
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV -2.88%E -1.89%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-09-06 14:27
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -2.88%E -1.89%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -6.50%E -2.51%K -4.09%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -2.88%E -1.89%K -5.53%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-07 02:10
MyBookie.ag🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 63.79%EV -3.51%E -2.33%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.21%EV -3.97%E -1.49%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-07 01:49
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.99%EV -3.51%E -2.33%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.01%EV -7.22%E -2.81%K -4.60%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.90%EV -3.51%E -2.33%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.10%EV -7.58%E -2.96%K -4.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 02:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-06 14:25
BetMGM🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 00:14
Coral🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 02:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 02:10
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 14:20
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-06 20:00
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 01:55
Winamax (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-07 01:54
Fanatics🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -4.15%E -2.77%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.74%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-07 02:10
SportsBet🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.79%E -3.22%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 02:05
Fliff🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.01%EV -4.79%E -3.22%K -9.78%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.99%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 01:40
Coolbet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -3.61%E -1.35%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-06 16:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-06 16:15
FanDuel🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.90%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.10%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-07 02:10
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 62.72%EV -5.43%E -3.67%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 37.28%EV -10.11%E -4.06%K -6.78%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-07 01:55
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-07 01:50
888sport🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-06 14:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-07 02:10
DraftKings🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-06 14:44
NordicBet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 63.25%EV -6.07%E -4.13%K -12.91%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 36.75%EV -8.66%E -3.42%K -5.66%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-07 02:10
Dabble (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -6.71%E -4.60%K -14.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-07 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-07 02:10
Casumo🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Unibet (SE)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Unibet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-07 02:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Virgin Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-07 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 02:10
betano_uk🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.37%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-07 02:09
theScore Bet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -7.35%E -5.07%K -16.33%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-07 02:10
betPARX🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 02:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 02:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 02:10
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -0.719%E -0.262%K -0.411%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-07 02:09
Grosvenor🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 02:10
TABtouch🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -2.52%E -0.935%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-07 02:10
LeoVegas🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-07 02:10
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.99%E -5.55%K -18.15%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -5.41%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-06 23:45
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -8.63%E -6.03%K -20.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-07 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.94%EV -9.26%E -6.52%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.06%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-07 02:10
ReBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -9.26%E -6.52%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.13%E -2.36%K -3.83%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-07 02:10
Winamax (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 64.23%EV -9.26%E -6.52%K -22.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.77%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-07 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX◎1.56I 64.10%NM 64.06%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.94%0.1%2026-09-07 02:10
Matchbook◎1.57I 63.69%NM 63.57%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.43%0.2%2026-09-07 02:09
BetOpenly◎1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-09-07 02:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-09-07 02:10
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-09-07 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.55%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.45%0.9%2026-09-07 02:10
Kalshi◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-07 02:10
Polymarket◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-07 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-09-07 02:05
Novig◎1.56I 64.10%NM 63.12%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.88%1.6%2026-09-07 02:10