Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners

Kickoff: 2026-07-29 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 6–7 Seattle Mariners

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 67.08%1.49fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -4.49%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.46

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%67.01%67.31%69.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.421.4673.53%70.57%70.42%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Mariners (Visit)

Prediction 32.92%3.04fair odd
EV +2.06%
Edge +0.665%
Kelly +0.981%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.80%32.99%32.69%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.943.1037.04%34.40%34.07%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 67.08%; Seattle Mariners (Visit): 32.92%. For Seattle Mariners (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -7.43%E -5.39%K -19.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV +2.06%E +0.665%K +0.981%G +0.020%4.7%2026-07-29 01:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV +1.40%E +0.455%K +0.674%G +0.009%2.4%2026-07-29 01:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 68.29%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.71%EV +1.40%E +0.455%K +0.674%G +0.009%2.4%2026-07-29 01:49
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%EV -0.244%E -0.081%K -0.120%G +0.000%2.9%2026-07-29 01:49
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.49%EV -2.74%E -1.89%K -6.08%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.51%EV -0.903%E -0.300%K -0.449%G +0.000%2.2%2026-07-29 02:04
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.23%E -0.411%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 22:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.23%E -0.411%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-28 22:40
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%EV -1.23%E -0.411%K -0.616%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-29 01:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.42%E -3.84%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.23%E -0.411%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 01:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.42%E -3.84%K -13.22%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.23%E -0.411%K -0.616%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 01:19
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.57%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.43%EV -1.89%E -0.634%K -0.955%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-29 01:54
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 66.97%EV -2.07%E -1.42%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.03%EV -2.55%E -0.861%K -1.30%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-29 01:34
theScore Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 21:04
Bovada🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.75%E -3.35%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-29 02:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -4.75%E -3.35%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:14
Bet Right🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.42%E -3.84%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.42%E -3.84%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:19
Unibet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.42%E -3.84%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:20
Casumo🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.42%E -3.84%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:19
Bally Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.42%E -3.84%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.42%E -3.84%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:19
betPARX🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.42%E -3.84%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-29 01:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:19
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:19
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:19
Fliff🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -8.10%E -5.92%K -21.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -2.88%E -0.976%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 02:09
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.28%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.72%EV -3.21%E -1.09%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 02:09
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.36%EV -4.75%E -3.35%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.64%EV -3.54%E -1.21%K -1.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 22:24
MyBookie.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -4.20%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 22:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.36%EV -5.42%E -3.84%K -13.22%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -4.20%E -1.44%K -2.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 02:09
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.67%EV -2.74%E -1.89%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-07-28 21:09
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.41%E -2.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-28 22:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.41%E -2.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 02:00
Coral🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -3.41%E -2.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-29 01:59
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-29 02:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -4.75%E -3.35%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-29 02:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 22:29
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 21:39
Dabble (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 23:24
Fanatics🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -7.43%E -5.39%K -19.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -4.52%E -1.56%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-29 02:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.18%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-29 02:09
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.77%E -6.45%K -24.37%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.18%E -1.80%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-29 01:20
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.75%E -3.35%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.17%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-29 02:04
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.75%E -3.35%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.17%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-28 22:24
SportsBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.22%EV -6.76%E -4.87%K -17.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.78%EV -6.17%E -2.17%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-29 02:10
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -6.50%E -2.29%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 21:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.74%E -1.89%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.82%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 02:10
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -2.74%E -1.89%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -7.82%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-29 02:10
Unibet (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.75%E -3.35%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.82%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-29 01:59
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.82%E -2.79%K -4.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-28 23:44
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.35%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.65%EV -9.13%E -3.31%K -5.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-29 02:09
Neds🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.74%E -1.89%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.74%E -1.89%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-29 01:59
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.41%E -2.37%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-29 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -4.08%E -2.85%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -9.46%E -3.44%K -5.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-29 02:10
Betclic (FR)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.75%E -3.35%K -11.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.11%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-29 02:09
Bet Victor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.11%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 01:59
betano_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -6.09%E -4.35%K -15.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -11.11%E -4.11%K -6.53%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-29 01:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 67.69%3.08I 32.47%NM 32.31%0.5%2026-07-29 02:09
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-07-28 21:34
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-07-28 23:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-07-29 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-07-29 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 67.78%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.22%1.8%2026-07-29 02:05
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%2.3%2026-07-29 02:04
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-07-29 02:09
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%3.3%2026-07-29 02:10
BetOpenly1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%4.5%2026-07-29 02:09

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