Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers v Seattle Mariners

2026-07-29 02:11 UTC — MLB

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 62.51%1.60momio equitativo
EV -1.23%
Ventaja -0.781%
Kelly -2.13%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.25%62.47%62.50%63.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.481.531.531.5867.57%65.48%65.36%63.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Mariners (Visitante)

Predicción 37.49%2.67momio equitativo
EV +0.099%
Ventaja +0.037%
Kelly +0.059%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.27%37.53%37.50%38.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.402.532.502.6741.67%39.58%40.00%37.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV +0.099%E +0.037%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 04:45
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 63.42%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 36.58%EV +0.099%E +0.037%K +0.059%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-28 04:45
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 63.25%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.75%EV -0.651%E -0.246%K -0.394%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-28 06:09
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.53%E -0.971%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 02:45
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.53%E -0.971%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-28 02:35
Fliff1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.53%E -0.971%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-28 03:20
Dabble (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.49%E -5.06%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.53%E -0.971%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-28 07:30
1xBet1.58I 63.29%NM 62.02%EV -1.23%E -0.781%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.98%EV -3.27%E -1.27%K -2.07%G +0.000%2.1%2026-07-28 06:15
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.27%E -1.27%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 02:25
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.65%E -1.42%K -2.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 02:35
BetRivers1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 03:15
Unibet (NL)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 03:15
Unibet (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 03:15
Svenska Spel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 03:15
Hard Rock Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-28 06:59
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 02:05
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-28 06:15
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-28 02:35
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 02:30
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 06:14
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 06:14
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 06:14
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.40%E -1.73%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-28 02:09
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.77%E -1.88%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-28 02:30
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.77%E -1.88%K -3.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-28 02:33
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.16%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.84%EV -5.15%E -2.04%K -3.37%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 02:29
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.44%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -5.90%E -2.35%K -3.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-28 02:30
PointsBet (AU)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.48%E -1.59%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-28 02:30
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.11%E -2.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-28 04:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 03:15
Unibet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 03:15
Casumo1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 03:15
Bally Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 03:15
ATG (SE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 03:15
betPARX1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-28 03:15
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 02:35
Marathon Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 06:14
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 04:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 02:35
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 02:35
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 03:15
TABtouch1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 03:15
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 03:15
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.36%E -2.85%K -8.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-28 03:45
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.99%E -3.28%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-28 02:30
ReBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 02:35
Betclic (FR)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.61%E -3.72%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-28 02:38
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 02:29
betano_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.24%E -4.16%K -12.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.27%E -2.51%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-28 02:33
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.02%E -2.83%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 02:30
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.74%E -2.43%K -6.92%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.02%E -2.83%K -4.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 02:35
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.11%E -2.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 01:50
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.11%E -2.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 02:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -3.11%E -2.01%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-28 02:35
Unibet (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.86%E -4.60%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 08:14
Grosvenor1.49I 67.11%NM 62.18%EV -6.86%E -4.60%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.82%EV -8.15%E -3.33%K -5.62%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-28 03:15
Winamax (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 61.70%EV -6.86%E -4.60%K -14.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.30%EV -10.02%E -4.18%K -7.16%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-28 02:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-28 03:25
ProphetX1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62%1.1%2026-07-28 08:14
Kalshi1.54I 64.94%NM 63.68%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.32%2.0%2026-07-28 05:00
Novig1.53I 65.36%NM 63.83%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.17%2.4%2026-07-28 08:14
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%4.3%2026-07-28 08:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%4.3%2026-07-28 08:15
Matchbook1.47I 68.03%NM 62.21%2.42I 41.32%NM 37.79%9.3%2026-07-28 08:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 64.84%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.16%9.4%2026-07-28 08:19
Smarkets1.37I 72.99%NM 65.66%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.34%11.2%2026-07-28 08:14