Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants

Kickoff: 2026-05-12 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 3–9 San Francisco Giants

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prediction 62.57%1.60fair odd
EV -1.77%
Edge -1.13%
Kelly -3.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.74%62.43%62.50%64.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.471.511.521.5768.03%66.02%65.79%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Francisco Giants (Visit)

Prediction 37.43%2.67fair odd
EV +2.94%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.049%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.14%37.57%37.50%40.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.582.552.7543.48%38.75%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 62.57%; San Francisco Giants (Visit): 37.43%. For San Francisco Giants (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Svenska Spel🎯1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -6.78%E -4.55%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +2.94%E +1.07%K +1.68%G +0.049%3.5%2026-05-12 01:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.40%E -5.00%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%4.6%2026-05-12 01:09
Unibet (NL)🎯1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.40%E -5.00%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%4.6%2026-05-12 01:09
LiveScore Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-11 23:29
LeoVegas🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
Grosvenor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
TABtouch🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-11 23:29
BetRivers🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-11 23:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-11 23:29
Casumo🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
ATG (SE)🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
Bally Bet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
betPARX🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
Unibet🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
Pinnacle🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.800%E -0.302%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 01:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -1.55%E -0.589%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 02:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -1.55%E -0.589%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 02:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -1.92%E -0.734%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 01:44
1xBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.77%E -1.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.30%E -0.880%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 01:54
GTbets🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.30%E -0.880%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-12 02:09
BetUS🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.67%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-12 02:09
ReBet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.67%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 01:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.67%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-11 12:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.67%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 01:58
Bovada🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.05%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 02:09
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.42%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 11:25
Bet Right🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.42%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 18:44
DraftKings🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.79%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:30
theScore Bet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.65%E -2.37%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 11:54
Fliff🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 02:09
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:54
Neds🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:50
Coolbet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 14:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.53%E -3.66%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 18:44
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:04
888sport (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:04
Tipico (DE)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 22:24
FanDuel🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.65%E -2.37%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.92%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 21:55
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.92%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:54
SportsBet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.29%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 21:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.29%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 01:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.40%E -1.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 02:09
PlayUp🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 02:09
TAB🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 11:29
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 23:18
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:54
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:55
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 23:44
Unibet (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 01:59
Dabble (AU)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 02:09
BoyleSports🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 01:14
Betsson🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.65%E -2.37%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 11:30
NordicBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.65%E -2.37%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 11:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.65%E -2.37%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.29%E -3.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 02:09
Betway🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.29%E -3.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 02:09
Winamax (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.29%E -3.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 02:10
Bet Victor🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.90%E -6.04%K -10.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 02:07
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (10)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.34%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.66%-0.1%2026-05-12 02:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-05-12 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-05-12 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-05-12 02:10
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-05-11 18:30
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-05-12 02:09
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-05-12 02:10
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-05-12 02:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-05-12 02:00
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%2.3%2026-05-12 02:09