L’École des cotes

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Francisco Giants

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-12 02:11 UTC

Score final : Los Angeles Dodgers 3–9 San Francisco Giants

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Prévision 62.57%1.60cote équitable
EV -1.77%
Avantage -1.13%
Kelly -3.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.74%62.43%62.50%64.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.471.511.521.5768.03%66.02%65.79%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

San Francisco Giants (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.43%2.67cote équitable
EV +2.94%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.049%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.14%37.57%37.50%40.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.582.552.7543.48%38.75%39.22%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 64.86%EV -6.78%E -4.55%K -13.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.14%EV +2.94%E +1.07%K +1.68%G +0.049%3.5%2026-05-12 01:09
Unibet (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.40%E -5.00%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%4.6%2026-05-12 01:09
Unibet (NL)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -7.40%E -5.00%K -15.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%4.6%2026-05-12 01:09
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-11 23:29
LeoVegas1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
Grosvenor1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
TABtouch1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-11 23:29
BetRivers1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-11 23:29
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-11 23:29
Casumo1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
ATG (SE)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
Bally Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
betPARX1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -8.03%E -5.46%K -17.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV +1.07%E +0.397%K +0.630%G +0.007%5.1%2026-05-12 01:09
Pinnacle1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -0.800%E -0.302%K -0.485%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-12 01:49
LowVig.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -1.55%E -0.589%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 02:09
BetOnline.ag1.55I 64.52%NM 62.92%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.08%EV -1.55%E -0.589%K -0.950%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-12 02:09
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 63.29%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.71%EV -1.92%E -0.734%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-12 01:44
1xBet1.57I 63.69%NM 62.44%EV -1.77%E -1.13%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.56%EV -2.30%E -0.880%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-12 01:54
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 62.74%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 37.26%EV -2.30%E -0.880%K -1.43%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-12 02:09
BetUS1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.67%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-12 02:09
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.67%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 01:14
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.67%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-11 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.67%E -1.03%K -1.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-12 01:58
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 63.02%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 36.98%EV -3.05%E -1.18%K -1.92%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-12 02:09
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -3.42%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-11 11:25
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -3.42%E -1.33%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 18:44
DraftKings1.52I 65.79%NM 62.84%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.16%EV -3.79%E -1.48%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:30
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.65%E -2.37%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-11 11:54
Fliff1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 02:09
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-12 02:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:54
Neds1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-11 22:50
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-11 14:04
Betr (AU)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.53%E -3.66%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 18:44
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:04
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:04
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 14:04
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -4.54%E -1.78%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-11 22:24
FanDuel1.54I 64.94%NM 62.25%EV -3.65%E -2.37%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.75%EV -4.92%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-11 21:55
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 62.41%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.59%EV -4.92%E -1.94%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-11 22:54
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.29%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 21:55
Marathon Bet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.29%E -2.09%K -3.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-12 01:49
Unibet (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -2.40%E -1.54%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-12 02:09
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-12 02:09
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-11 11:29
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 23:18
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:54
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-11 22:55
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-11 23:44
Unibet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 01:59
Dabble (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 02:09
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.15%E -4.10%K -12.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.42%E -2.57%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-12 01:14
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.65%E -2.37%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 11:30
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.69%EV -3.65%E -2.37%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.31%EV -7.16%E -2.89%K -4.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-11 11:29
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.65%E -2.37%K -6.76%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.29%E -3.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-12 02:09
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.27%E -2.79%K -8.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -8.29%E -3.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-12 02:09
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.90%E -3.22%K -9.42%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.29%E -3.38%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-12 02:10
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -3.02%E -1.95%K -5.50%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -13.90%E -6.04%K -10.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-12 02:07
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (10)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.58I 63.29%NM 63.34%2.73I 36.63%NM 36.66%-0.1%2026-05-12 02:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-05-12 02:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-05-12 02:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 63.08%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.92%0.3%2026-05-12 02:10
Polymarket1.59I 62.89%NM 62.32%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.68%0.9%2026-05-11 18:30
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-05-12 02:09
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 62.88%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.12%1.3%2026-05-12 02:10
Smarkets1.55I 64.52%NM 63.18%2.66I 37.59%NM 36.82%2.1%2026-05-12 02:10
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-05-12 02:00
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.26%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.74%2.3%2026-05-12 02:09