Language:English
Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)
Prediction 69.88%1.43fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.55%
Kelly -5.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.29%69.85%70.02%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.33%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Diego Padres (Visit)
Prediction 30.12%3.32fair odd
EV +1.21%
Edge +0.361%
Kelly +0.514%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 3.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%30.15%29.98%31.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.133.143.3634.48%31.96%31.85%29.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Los Angeles Dodgers (Local): 69.88%; San Diego Padres (Visit): 30.12%. For San Diego Padres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.32. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.21%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV +1.21%E +0.361%K +0.514%G +0.006% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV +1.21%E +0.361%K +0.514%G +0.006% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.594%E -0.180%K -0.258%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-05 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.87%E -2.07%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -0.895%E -0.272%K -0.391%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-07-05 01:55 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.525%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.02%EV -2.17%E -1.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.98%EV -1.50%E -0.458%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-07-05 01:50 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -4.27%E -3.12%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -1.50%E -0.458%K -0.660%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-05 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.10%E -0.646%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.10%E -0.646%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.10%E -0.646%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.10%E -0.646%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-05 01:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -3.00%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-05 01:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -2.17%E -1.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-07-05 01:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 01:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.27%E -3.12%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 15:55 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 01:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 01:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-07-05 01:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 02:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 02:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.21%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-05 02:00 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-05 01:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 02:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 02:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.41%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 02:00 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-05 02:00 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.02%E -1.93%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-05 01:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -4.27%E -3.12%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -6.32%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-04 19:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.17%E -1.55%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.87%E -2.07%K -7.36%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-04 19:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 01:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 01:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 01:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 01:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-04 17:54 |
| Dabble (AU)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 00:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-05 00:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-04 23:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.27%E -3.12%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-04 23:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.37%E -4.75%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 01:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -4.27%E -3.12%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -6.37%E -4.75%K -18.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (10)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.0% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 1.2% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.3% | 2026-07-05 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60% | 1.5% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 02:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11% | 2.2% | 2026-07-05 02:10 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 01:55 |