La escuela de los momios

Los Angeles Dodgers v San Diego Padres

Inicio: 2026-07-05 02:11 UTC

Final: Los Angeles Dodgers 3–0 San Diego Padres

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Los Angeles Dodgers (Local)

Predicción 69.88%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.17%
Ventaja -1.55%
Kelly -5.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.29%69.85%70.02%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.361.361.4075.76%73.33%73.53%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

San Diego Padres (Visitante)

Predicción 30.12%3.32momio equitativo
EV +1.21%
Ventaja +0.361%
Kelly +0.514%
Crecimiento +0.006%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.57%30.15%29.98%31.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.133.143.3634.48%31.96%31.85%29.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV +1.21%E +0.361%K +0.514%G +0.006%2.2%2026-07-05 02:10
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 70.89%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 29.11%EV +1.21%E +0.361%K +0.514%G +0.006%2.2%2026-07-05 02:10
Tipico (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.76%E -5.88%K -24.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -0.594%E -0.180%K -0.258%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-05 02:00
Pinnacle1.39I 71.94%NM 70.30%EV -2.87%E -2.07%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 29.70%EV -0.895%E -0.272%K -0.391%G +0.000%2.3%2026-07-05 01:55
Caesars1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 02:10
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.84%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.16%EV -1.20%E -0.365%K -0.525%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-05 02:10
1xBet1.40I 71.43%NM 70.02%EV -2.17%E -1.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.98%EV -1.50%E -0.458%K -0.660%G +0.000%2.0%2026-07-05 01:50
MyBookie.ag1.37I 72.99%NM 70.47%EV -4.27%E -3.12%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.53%EV -1.50%E -0.458%K -0.660%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-05 02:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.10%E -0.646%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:10
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.10%E -0.646%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:10
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.10%E -0.646%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 02:10
Bovada1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -2.10%E -0.646%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-05 01:44
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 70.00%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 30.00%EV -3.00%E -0.933%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-05 01:50
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 69.57%EV -2.17%E -1.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.43%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%2.7%2026-07-05 01:53
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 01:50
TAB1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 02:10
theScore Bet1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -4.27%E -3.12%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 15:55
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 02:00
PointsBet (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 01:50
Hard Rock Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 01:55
Fanatics1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 01:55
Neds1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 02:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -3.61%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 02:00
Coolbet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.04%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 29.96%EV -4.21%E -1.32%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-05 02:00
BetAnything1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-05 01:55
Betr (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 02:00
888sport1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 02:00
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 02:00
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -7.06%E -5.31%K -21.41%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 02:00
Betsson1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 02:10
NordicBet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.78%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.22%EV -5.41%E -1.72%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 02:00
Marathon Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.64%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.36%EV -6.02%E -1.93%K -2.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-05 01:55
SportsBet1.37I 72.99%NM 69.42%EV -4.27%E -3.12%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.58%EV -6.32%E -2.03%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-04 19:20
Unibet (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -2.17%E -1.55%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.7%2026-07-05 02:10
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -2.87%E -2.07%K -7.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-04 19:20
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 01:40
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 01:50
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 01:55
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 01:55
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-04 17:54
Dabble (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 00:25
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 00:00
Bally Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-04 23:55
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 02:10
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 02:10
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 02:10
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 02:10
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 02:10
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 02:10
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.57%E -2.59%K -9.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 02:10
ReBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -4.27%E -3.12%K -11.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-05 02:10
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-04 23:45
Betway1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 02:10
Betclic (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -6.37%E -4.75%K -18.72%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 01:59
Winamax (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -4.27%E -3.12%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 02:10
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 02:10
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 02:10
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 02:10
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.97%E -3.65%K -13.80%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 02:10
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -5.67%E -4.20%K -16.19%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -11.14%E -3.78%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 02:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 68.40%EV -6.37%E -4.75%K -18.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.60%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-05 02:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (10)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-05 02:10
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-07-05 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-07-05 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.41I 70.92%NM 70.06%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%1.2%2026-07-05 02:10
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-07-05 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-07-05 02:05
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 70.40%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.60%1.5%2026-07-05 02:10
Matchbook1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79%1.7%2026-07-05 02:05
Smarkets1.40I 71.43%NM 69.89%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%2.2%2026-07-05 02:10
BetOpenly1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%3.7%2026-07-05 01:55